Parte de libro

Estamos trabajando para incorporar este artículo al repositorio

Abstract:

The aim of this chapter focuses on designing statistical models to predict the accumulation of snow in the region of the Central Andes in Argentina. This section describes previous research, the data set and the definition predictors which were used in the forecasting models. A Regional Average of Snow in the region of the Central Andes (RAS) was used for this research. The series RAS is representative of the precipitacion in the mountain because it was built using measurements in stations between 32° and 38°S. Stepwise and Cross-validation Method were also employed to build and prove the efficiency of the models. © 2017 Nova Science Publishers, Inc.

Registro:

Documento: Parte de libro
Título:Statistical evaluation of experimental models for the prediction of snow in the central andes
Autor:Bisero, N.K.; González, M.H.
Filiación:National Weather Service, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, FCEN/CIMA CONICET, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Palabras clave:Central andes; Climate prediction; ENSO; Regression analysis; Snowpack
Año:2017
Página de inicio:29
Página de fin:52
Título revista:The Andes: Geography, Diversity, and Sociocultural Impacts
Título revista abreviado:The Andes: Geography, Diversity, and Sociocultural Impacts
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_97815361_v_n_p29_Bisero

Referencias:

  • Aceituno, P., On the functioning of the Southern Oscillation in the South American sector. Part I: Surface climate (1988) Monthly Weather Review, 116, pp. 505-524
  • Barnston, A., Kumar, A., Goddard, L., Hoerling, M., Improving seasonal prediction practices through attribution of climate variability (2005) BAMS, pp. 59-72
  • Berenson, M.L., Levine, D.M., Estadistica Básica en Administración (1996) Conceptos Y Aplicaciones, , South America: Prentice Hall Hispanoamericana/
  • Bisero, N.K., González, M.H., Regression method for predicting snow cover in central andes in argentina (2015) Journal of Flood Engineering, p. 6
  • Compagnucci, R., Vargas, W., Inter-annual variability of the Cuyo river streamflowin the Argentinean Andean Mountains and ENSO events (1998) International Journal of Climatology, 18, pp. 1593-1609
  • Coelho, C., Stephenson, D., Balmaseda, M., Doblas Reyes, F., Oldenborge, G., Towards an integrated seasonal forecasting system for South America (2005) Journal of Climate, 19, pp. 3704-3721
  • Jones, P.D., Hulme, M., Calculating regional climatic time series for temperature and precipitation: Methods and illustrations (1996) International Journal of Climatology, 16, pp. 361-377
  • Kidson, J., Principal modes of southern hemisphere low frequency variability obtained from NCEP-NCAR reanalyses (1999) Journal of Climate, 12, pp. 2808-2830. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1999)0122808:PMOSHL2.0.CO;2
  • Kumar, A., On the interpretation and utility of skill information for seasonal climate predictions (2006) Monthly Weather Review, 135, pp. 1974-1984
  • Masiokas, M.H., Villalba, R., Luckman, B.H., Le Quesne, C., Aravena, J.C., Snowpack Variations in the Central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951-2005: Large-Scale Atmospheric Influences And Implications for Water Resources in the Region (2006) Journal of Climate, 19, pp. 6334-6352. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3969.1
  • Montecinos, A., Aceituno, P., Seasonality of the ENSO related rainfall variability in central Chile and associated circulation anomalies (2003) Journal of Climate, 16, pp. 281-296. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)0160281:SOTERR2.0.CO;2
  • Nogues Paegle, J., Mo, K.C., Linkages between Summer Rainfall Variability over South America and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (2002) Journal of Climate, 15, pp. 1389-1407. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)0151389:LBSRVO2.0.CO;2
  • Pittock, A.B., Patterns of climatic variations in Argentina and Chile: I. Precipitation, 1931-1960 (1980) Monthly Weather Review, 108, pp. 1347-1361
  • Quan, X., Hoerling, M., Whitaker, J., Bates, G., Xu, T., Diagnosing source of US Seasonal forecast skill (2006) Journal of Climate, 19, pp. 3279-3293
  • Quinn, W., Neal, V., Long-term variation in the southern oscillation, El Niño and the Chilean subtropical rainfall (1983) Fishing Bulletin, 81, pp. 363-374
  • Ropelewski, C., Halpert, M., Global and Regional scale precipitation patterns associated with El Niño (1987) Monthly Weather Review, 115, pp. 1606-1626. , http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1987)1151606:GARSPP2.0.CO;2
  • Rutlland, J.A., Fuenzalida, H., Synoptic aspects of the central Chile rainfall variability associated with the Southern Oscillation (1991) International Journal of Climatology, 11, pp. 63-76
  • Thompson, D.W., Wallace, J.M., Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability (2000) Journal of Climate, 13, pp. 1000-1016
  • Wilks, D.S., (2006) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences, , Netherlands: Elsevier Inc

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Bisero, N.K. & González, M.H. (2017) . Statistical evaluation of experimental models for the prediction of snow in the central andes. The Andes: Geography, Diversity, and Sociocultural Impacts, 29-52.
Recuperado de https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_97815361_v_n_p29_Bisero [ ]
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Bisero, N.K., González, M.H. "Statistical evaluation of experimental models for the prediction of snow in the central andes" . The Andes: Geography, Diversity, and Sociocultural Impacts (2017) : 29-52.
Recuperado de https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_97815361_v_n_p29_Bisero [ ]
---------- MLA ----------
Bisero, N.K., González, M.H. "Statistical evaluation of experimental models for the prediction of snow in the central andes" . The Andes: Geography, Diversity, and Sociocultural Impacts, 2017, pp. 29-52.
Recuperado de https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_97815361_v_n_p29_Bisero [ ]
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Bisero, N.K., González, M.H. Statistical evaluation of experimental models for the prediction of snow in the central andes. The Andes: Geography, Diversity, and Sociocultural Impacts. 2017:29-52.
Available from: https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_97815361_v_n_p29_Bisero [ ]