Artículo

Estamos trabajando para incorporar este artículo al repositorio
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

During the period 2010-2015, the semi-arid Central Andes in Argentina (CAA) experienced one of the most severe and long-lasting hydrological droughts on record. Since the snowmelt is the most important source of water, the reduced snowfall over the mountains propagated the drought signal through the streamflows in the adjacent foothills east of the Andes ranges. Motivated by the widespread impacts on the socio-economic activities in the region, this study aims to characterize the recent hydrological drought in terms of streamflow deficits. Based on streamflow data from 20 basins, we used the standardized streamflow index (SSI) to characterize hydrological droughts during the period 1971-2016. We found that the regional extent of the 2010-2015 hydrological drought was limited to the basins located north of 38° S, with mean duration of 67 months and maximum drought severity exhibiting a heterogeneous pattern in terms of spatial distribution and time of occurrence. The drought event reached extreme conditions in 14 of the 15 basins in the CAA, being record-breaking drought in six of the basins. This condition was likely driven by a cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean resembling La Niña conditions, which generated a decrease in snowfall over the Andes due to suppressed frontal activity. © 2017 by the authors.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Spatio-temporal patterns of the 2010-2015 extreme hydrological drought across the Central Andes, Argentina
Autor:Rivera, J.A.; Penalba, O.C.; Villalba, R.; Araneo, D.C.
Filiación:Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales (IANIGLA), CCT-Mendoza/Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Av. Ruiz Leal s/n, Mendoza, 5500, Argentina
Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias y Ambientales, Universidad Juan Agustín Maza, Av. Acceso Este, Lateral Sur 2245, Mendoza, 5521, Argentina
Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Intendente Güiraldes 2160, Buenos Aires, C1428EGA, Argentina
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Godoy Cruz 2290, Buenos Aires, C1425FQB, Argentina
Palabras clave:Argentina; Central Andes; Drought; Hydroclimatic variability; Hydrological drought; Semi-arid region; Snowmelt; Standardized streamflow index; Streamflow; Water resources; Economics; Snow; Snow melting systems; Stream flow; Water resources; Argentina; Central Andes; Hydroclimatic variability; Hydrological droughts; Semi-arid region; Snowmelt; Standardized streamflow indices; Drought; climate variation; drought; extreme event; heterogeneity; mountain region; semiarid region; snowmelt; socioeconomic conditions; spatiotemporal analysis; streamflow; water resource; Andes; Argentina; Pacific Ocean; Pacific Ocean (Tropical)
Año:2017
Volumen:9
Número:9
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w9090652
Título revista:Water (Switzerland)
Título revista abreviado:Water
ISSN:20734441
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_20734441_v9_n9_p_Rivera

Referencias:

  • Schwabe, K., Albiac, J., Andreu, J., Ayers, J., Caiola, N., Hayman, P., Ibanez, C., Summaries and Considerations (2013) Drought in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions, pp. 471-507. , Schwabe, K., Albiac, J., Connor, J.D., Hassan, R.M., Meza-González, L., Eds.; Springer: Dordrecht, The Netherlands
  • Tallaksen, L.M., Van Lanen, H.A.J., (2004) Hydrological Drought: Processes and Estimation Methods for Streamflow and Groundwater, , Elsevier: Amsterdam, The Netherlands
  • Dai, A., Drought under global warming: A review (2011) WIREs Clim. Chang, 2, pp. 45-65
  • Cai, W., Cowan, T., Thatcher, M., Rainfall reductions over Southern Hemisphere semi-arid regions: The role of subtropical dry zone expansion (2012) Sci. Rep, 2, p. 702
  • Boisier, J.P., Rondanelli, R., Garreaud, R.D., Muñoz, F., Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile (2016) Geophys. Res. Lett, 43, pp. 413-421
  • Garreaud, R., Alvarez-Garreton, C., Barichivich, J., Boisier, J.P., Christie, D., Galleguillos, M., LeQuesne, C., Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., The 2010-2015 mega drought in Central Chile: Impacts on regional hydroclimate and vegetation (2017) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, , Discuss
  • Marengo, J.A., Alvala, R.S., Moraes, O.L., Brito, S., Cunha, A.P., The 2010-2016 drought in the semiarid Northeast Brazil region: Monitoring, climatic features and socio-economic impacts (2017) Proceedings of the Multihazard EarlyWarning Conference, , Cancún, México, 22-23 May
  • Paredes-Trejo, F., Barbosa, H., Evaluation of the SMOS-Derived Soil Water Deficit Index as Agricultural Drought Index in Northeast of Brazil (2017) Water, 9, p. 377
  • Van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Beck, H.E., Crosbie, R.S., De Jeu, R.A.M., Liu, Y.Y., Podger, G.M., Timbal, B., Viney, N.R., The Millennium drought in southeast Australia (2001-2009): Natural and human causes and implications for water resources, ecosystems, economy, and society (2013) Water Resour. Res, 49, pp. 1040-1057
  • (2016) Policy Brief on the 2015/2016 Drought, , BFAP: Cape Town, South Africa
  • Montaña, E., Diaz, H.P., Hurlbert, M., Development, local livelihoods, and vulnerabilities to global environmental change in the South American Dry Andes (2016) Reg. Environ. Chang, 16, pp. 2215-2228
  • Agosta, E.A., Cavagnaro, M., Variaciones interanuales de la precipitación de verano y el rendimiento del cultivo de la vid en Mendoza (2010) Geoacta, 35, pp. 1-10
  • Villatoro, G., Cortocircuitos por la creciente crisis hídrica del río Atuel, , http://www.diariouno.com.ar/pais/cortocircuitos-la-creciente-crisis-hidrica-del-rioatuel-20150118-n43593.html, (accessed on 26 May 2017). Diario Uno, 25 January 2015
  • Romanello, C., Por la sequía, el turismo en el dique Ullum es cada vez menor, , http://www.losandes.com.ar/noticia/por-la-sequia-el-turismo-en-el-dique-ullum-escada-vez-menor-838737, (accessed on 26 May 2017). Diario Los Andes, 19 March 2015
  • En sólo 11 días se hicieron 470 multas por derroche de agua en Mendoza, , http://www.losandes.com.ar/article/en-solo-11-dias-se-hicieron-470-multas-por-derroche-de-agua-en-mendoza, (accessed on 26 May 2017). Diario Los Andes, 13 November 2014
  • Aumentó el valor de las multas por derrochar agua: Las más caras serán de $5.700, , http://www.diariouno.com.ar/mendoza/aumento-el-valor-las-multasderrochar-agua-las-mas-caras-seran-5700-20170320-n1361153.html, (accessed on 26 May 2017). Diario Uno, 20 March 2017
  • McIntyre, O., (2007) Environmental Protection of InternationalWater Courses under International Law, , Ashgate Publishing Limited: Hampshire, UK
  • Rojas, F., Wagner, L., Conflicto por la apropiación del río Atuel entre Mendoza y La Pampa (Argentina) (2016) HALAC, 6, pp. 278-297
  • Nikbakht, J., Tabari, H., Hosseinzadeh Talaee, P., Streamflow drought severity analysis by percent of normal index (PNI) in northwest Iran (2013) Theor. Appl. Climatol, 112, pp. 565-573
  • Masiokas, M.H., Christie, D.C., Le Quesne, C., Pitte, P., Ruiz, L., Villalba, R., Luckman, B.H., González-Reyes, A., Reconstructing the annual mass balance of the Echaurren Norte glacier (Central Andes, 33.5 S) using local and regional hydroclimatic data (2016) Cryosphere, 10, pp. 927-940
  • Masiokas, M., Villalba, R., Luckman, B., Le Quesne, C., Aravena, J.C., Snowpack variations in the Central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951-2005: Large-scale atmospheric influences and implications for water resources in the region (2006) J. Clim, 19, pp. 6334-6352
  • Boninsegna, J., Villalba, R., Los escenarios de Cambio Climático y el impacto en los caudales (2006) In Documento Sobre la Oferta Hídrica en los Oasis de Riego de Mendoza y San Juan en Escenarios de Cambio Climático, , Secretaría de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sustentable: Buenos Aires, Argentina
  • Villalba, R., Boninsegna, J.A., Masiokas, M.H., Cara, L., Salomón, M., Pozzoli, J., Cambio climático y recursos hídricos (2016) El caso de las tierras secas del oeste argentino. Ciencia Hoy, 25, pp. 48-55
  • Jain, V.K., Jain, M.K., Pandey, R.P., Effect of the Length of the Streamflow Record on Truncation Level for Assessment of Streamflow Drought Characteristics (2014) J. Hydrol. Eng, 19, pp. 1361-1373
  • Rivera, J.A., Araneo, D.C., Penalba, O.C., Threshold level approach for streamflow droughts analysis in the Central Andes of Argentina: A climatological assessment (2017) Hydrol. Sci. J
  • Rivera, J.A., Araneo, D.C., Penalba, O.C., Villalba, R., Regional aspects of streamflow droughts in the Andean rivers of Patagonia, Argentina. Links with large-scale climatic oscillations (2017) Hydrol. Res
  • Araneo, D., Villalba, R., Variability in the annual cycle of the Río Atuel streamflows and its relationship with tropospheric circulation (2015) Int. J. Climatol, 35, pp. 2948-2967
  • Schwerdtfeger, W., The atmospheric circulation over Central and South America (1976) Climates of Central and South America, 2, pp. 2-12. , Schwerdtfeger, W., Ed.; Elsevier: New York, NY, USA
  • Vicente-Serrano, S.M., López-Moreno, J.I., Beguería, S., Lorenzo-Lacruz, J., Azorin-Molina, C., Morán-Tejada, E., Accurate computation of a streamflow drought index (2012) J. Hydrol. Eng, 17, pp. 318-332
  • McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., Kleist, J., The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scale (1993) In Proceedings of the Eight Conference on Applied Climatology, pp. 179-184. , Anaheim, CA, USA, 17-23 January 1993 American Meteorological Society Boston, MA, USA
  • Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Spatio-temporal assessment of streamflow droughts over Southern South America: 1961-2006 (2017) Theor. Appl. Climatol, pp. 1-13
  • Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Distribución de probabilidades de los caudales mensuales en las regiones de Cuyo y Patagonia (Argentina) (2017) Aplicación al monitoreo de sequías hidrológicas, , Meteorológica, in press
  • Gudmundsson, L., Stagge, J.H., (2016) SCI: Standardized Climate Indices such as SPI, SRI or SPEI, , R Package Version 1.0-2; ETH: Zurich, Switzerland
  • Shukla, S., Wood, A.W., Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought (2008) Geophys. Res. Lett, 35
  • Núñez, J., Rivera, D., Oyarzún, R., Arumí, J.L., On the use of Standardized Drought Indices under decadal climate variability: Critical assessment and drought policy implications (2014) J. Hydrol, 517, pp. 458-470
  • Lloyd-Hughes, B., Saunders, M.A., A drought climatology for Europe (2002) Int. J. Climatol, 22, pp. 1571-1592
  • Barker, L.J., Hannaford, J., Chiverton, A., Svensson, C., From meteorological to hydrological drought using standardised indicators (2016) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, 20, pp. 2483-2505
  • Rangecroft, S., Van Loon, A.F., Maureira, H., Verbist, K., Hannah, D.M., Multi-method assessment of reservoir effects on hydrological droughts in an arid region (2016) Earth Syst. Dyn, , Discuss
  • Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Precipitation response to El Niño/La Niña events in Southern South America-Emphasis in regional drought occurrences (2016) Adv. Geosci, 42, pp. 1-14
  • Compagnucci, R.H., Araneo, D.C., Identificación de áreas de homogeneidad estadística para los caudales de ríos andinos argentinos y su relación con la circulación atmosférica y la temperatura superficial del mar (2005) Meteorológica, 30, pp. 41-53
  • Caragunis, J., Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O., Variabilidad de baja frecuencia en los caudales de los ríos del centro-norte de Argentina y su contribución al desarrollo de sequías hidrológicas (2017) Proceedings of the XXVIII Reunión Científica de la Asociación Argentina de Geofísicos y Geodestas, , La Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 17-21 April
  • Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Future changes in drought characteristics over Southern South America projected by a CMIP5 ensemble (2013) Am. J. Clim. Chang, 2, pp. 173-182
  • Rivera, J.A., Aspectos Climatológicos de las Sequías Meteorológicas en el Sur de Sudamérica (2014) Análisis Regional y Proyecciones Futuras, , Ph.D. Thesis University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 23 March
  • Rivera, J.A., Araneo, D.C., Penalba, O.C., Villalba, R., Linking climate variations with the hydrological cycle over the semi-arid Central Andes of Argenti Past, present and future, with emphasis on streamflow droughts (2017) In Geophysical Research Abstracts 19, EGU2017-995, Proceedings of the European Geosciences Union 2017 General Assembly, , Vienna, Austria, 23-28 April 2017 EGU Vienna, Austria
  • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml, (accessed on 26 May 2017); Smith, T.M., Reynolds, R.W., Peterson, T.C., Lawrimore, J., Improvements to NOAA's Historical Merged Land-Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880-2006) (2008) J. Clim, 21, pp. 2283-2296
  • Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Woollen, J., The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project (1996) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc, 77, pp. 437-470
  • Harpold, A.A., Dettinger, M., Rajagopal, S., Defining snow drought and why it matters (2017) Eos, p. 98
  • http://europeandroughtcentre.com/2017/04/20/snow-drought/, (accessed on 26 May 2017); Masiokas, M.H., Villalba, R., Christie, D.A., Betman, E., Luckman, B.H., Le Quesne, C., Prieto, M.R., Mauget, S., Snowpack variations since AD 1150 in the Andes of Chile and Argentina (30°-37° S) inferred from rainfall, tree-ring and documentary records (2012) J. Geophys. Res, 117
  • Bianchi, L., Rivera, J., Rojas, F., Britos Navarro, M., Villalba, R., A regional water balance indicator inferred from satellite images of an Andean endorheic basin in central-western Argentina (2017) Hydrol. Sci. J, 62, pp. 533-545
  • Hong, X., Guo, S., Zhou, Y., Xiong, L., Uncertainties in assessing hydrological drought using streamflow drought index for the upper Yangtze River basin (2015) Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess, 29, pp. 1235-1247
  • Lorenzo-Lacruz, J., Morán-Tejeda, E., Vicente-Serrano, S.M., López-Moreno, J.L., Streamflow droughts in the Iberian Peninsula between 1945 and 2005: Spatial and temporal patterns (2013) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, 17, pp. 119-134
  • Carril, A.F., Doyle, M.E., Barros, V.R., Núñez, M.N., Impacts of climate change on the oases of the Argentinean cordillera (1997) Clim. Res, 9, pp. 121-129
  • Lauro, C., Vich, A., Moreiras, S.M., Variabilidad del régimen fluvial en cuencas de la región de Cuyo (2016) Geoacta, 40, pp. 28-51
  • Mernild, S.H., Liston, G.E., Hiemstra, C.A., Malmros, J.K., Yde, G.C., McPhee, J., The Andes Cordillera. Part I: Snow distribution, properties, and trends (1979-2014) (2017) Int. J. Climatol, 37, pp. 1680-1698
  • Masiokas, M.H., Villalba, R., Luckman, B.H., Mauget, S., Intra-to multidecadal variations of snowpack and streamflow records in the Andes of Chile and Argentina between 30° and 37° S (2010) J. Hydrometeorol, 11, pp. 822-831
  • Barnett, T.P., Adam, J.C., Lettenmaier, D.P., Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions (2005) Nature, 438, pp. 303-309
  • Vicuña, S., Garreaud, R.D., McPhee, J., Climate change impacts on the hydrology of a snowmelt driven basin in semiarid Chile (2011) Clim. Chang, 105, pp. 469-488
  • Vicuña, S., McPhee, J., Garreaud, R.D., Agriculture Vulnerability to Climate Change in a Snowmelt-Driven Basin in Semiarid Chile (2012) J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag, 138, pp. 431-441
  • Rivera, J.A., Araneo, D.C., Penalba, O.C., Streamflow droughts over the central Andes of Argentina: Current crisis (2010-2014) in historical perspective (2015) Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere, , Santiago de Chile, Chile, 5-9 October

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Villalba, R. & Araneo, D.C. (2017) . Spatio-temporal patterns of the 2010-2015 extreme hydrological drought across the Central Andes, Argentina. Water (Switzerland), 9(9).
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w9090652
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Villalba, R., Araneo, D.C. "Spatio-temporal patterns of the 2010-2015 extreme hydrological drought across the Central Andes, Argentina" . Water (Switzerland) 9, no. 9 (2017).
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w9090652
---------- MLA ----------
Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Villalba, R., Araneo, D.C. "Spatio-temporal patterns of the 2010-2015 extreme hydrological drought across the Central Andes, Argentina" . Water (Switzerland), vol. 9, no. 9, 2017.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w9090652
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Villalba, R., Araneo, D.C. Spatio-temporal patterns of the 2010-2015 extreme hydrological drought across the Central Andes, Argentina. Water. 2017;9(9).
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w9090652