Artículo

Estamos trabajando para incorporar este artículo al repositorio
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

This review summarizes the progress achieved on regional climate modeling activities over South America since the early efforts at the beginning of the 2000s until now. During the last 10 years, simulations with regional climate models (RCMs) have been performed for several purposes over the region. Early efforts were mainly focused on sensitivity studies to both physical mechanisms and technical aspects of RCMs. The last developments were focused mainly on providing high-resolution information on regional climate change. This paper describes the most outstanding contributions from the isolated efforts to the ongoing coordinated RCM activities in the framework of the CORDEX initiative, which represents a major endeavor to produce ensemble climate change projections at regional scales and allows exploring the associated range of uncertainties. The remaining challenges in modeling South American climate features are also discussed. © 2013 Silvina A. Solman.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Regional climate modeling over south america: A review
Autor:Solman, S.A.
Filiación:Centro de Investigaciones Del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), DCAO/FCEN, UMI IFAECI/CNRS, C1428EGA Buenos Aires, Argentina
Año:2013
Volumen:2013
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/504357
Título revista:Advances in Meteorology
Título revista abreviado:Adv. Meteorol.
ISSN:16879309
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_16879309_v2013_n_p_Solman

Referencias:

  • Stouffer, R.J., Taylor, K.E., Meehl, G.A., CMIP5 long-term experimental design (2011) CLIVAR Exchanges, 16 (56), pp. 5-7
  • Taylor, K.E., Stouffer, R.J., Meehl, G.A., An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design (2012) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, pp. 485-498
  • Giorgi, F., Mearns, L.O., Approaches to the simulation of regional climate change: A review (1991) Reviews of Geophysics, 29 (2), pp. 191-216. , 2-s2.0-0026288344
  • Giorgi, F., Jones, C., Asrar, G., Addressing climate information needs at the regional level: The CORDEX framework (2009) World Meteorological Organization Buletin, 58 (3), pp. 175-183
  • Vera, C., Higgins, W., Amador, J., Ambrizzi, T., Garreaud, R., Gochis, D., Gutzler, D., Zhang, C., Toward a unified view of the American monsoon systems (2006) Journal of Climate, 19 (20), pp. 4977-5000. , DOI 10.1175/JCLI3896.1
  • Garreaud, R.D., Vuille, M., Compagnucci, R., Marengo, J., Pesent-day South American climate (2009) Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 281 (3-4), pp. 180-195. , 10.1016/j.palaeo.2007.10.032
  • Boulanger, J.P., Schlindwein, S., Gentile, E., CLARIS LPB WP1: Metamorphosis of the CLARIS LPB European project: From a mechanistic to a systemic approach (2011) CLIVAR Exchanges, 16 (57), pp. 7-10
  • Dickinson, R.E., Errico, R.M., Giorgi, F., Bates, G.T., A regional climate model for the western United States (1989) Climatic Change, 15 (3), pp. 383-422. , 2-s2.0-0000614116 10.1007/BF00240465
  • Giorgi, F., On the simulation of regional climate using a limited area model nested in a general circulation model (1990) Journal of Climate, 3 (9), pp. 941-963
  • Chou, S.C., Nunes, A.M.B., Cavalcanti, I.F.A., Extended range forecasts over South America using regional eta model (2000) Journal of Geophysical Research, 105 (D8), pp. 147-110. , 10.1029/1999JD901137
  • Menéndez, C.G., Saulo, A.C., Li, Z.X., Simulation of South American wintertime climate with a nesting system (2001) Climate Dynamics, 17, pp. 219-231
  • Nicolini, M., Salio, P., Katzfey, J.J., McGregor, J.L., Saulo, A.C., January and July regional climate simulation over South America (2002) Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres, 107 (22), pp. 121-1213. , DOI 10.1029/2001JD000736
  • Nobre, P., Moura, A.D., Sun, L., Dynamical downscaling of seasonal climate prediction over Nordeste Brazil with ECHAM3 and NCEP's regional spectral models at IRI (2001) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82 (12), pp. 2787-2796
  • Misra, V., Dirmeyer, P.A., Kirtman, B.P., Juang, H.-M.H., Kanamitsu, M., Regional simulation of interannual variability over South America (2002) Journal of Geophysical Research, 107 (D20). , 2-s2.0-36448951271 10.1029/2001JD900216
  • Misra, V., Dirmeyer, P.A., Kirtman, B.P., Dynamic downscaling of seasonal simulations over South America (2003) Journal of Climate, 16 (1), pp. 103-117
  • Misra, V., Dirmeyer, P.A., Kirtman, B.P., A comparative study of two land surface schemes in regional climate integrations over South America (2002) Journal of Geophysical Research, 107 (D20), pp. 48-49. , 2-s2.0-5444270274 10.1029/2001JD001284
  • Seth, A., Rojas, M., Simulation and sensitivity in a nested modeling system for South America. Part I: Reanalyses boundary forcing (2003) Journal of Climate, 16 (15), pp. 2437-2453. , DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2437:SASIAN>2.0.CO;2
  • Rojas, M., Seth, A., Simulation and sensitivity in a nested modeling system for South America. Part II: GCM boundary forcing (2003) Journal of Climate, 16 (15), pp. 2454-2471. , DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2454:SASIAN>2.0.CO;2
  • Seth, A., Rojas, M., Liebmann, B., Qian, J.-H., Daily rainfall analysis for South America from a regional climate model and station observations (2004) Geophysical Research Letters, 31 (7), pp. L07213. , DOI 10.1029/2003GL019220
  • Misra, V., Kanamitsu, M., Anomaly nesting: A methodology to downscale seasonal climate simulations from AGCMs (2004) Journal of Climate, 17 (17), pp. 3249-3262. , DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3249:ANAMTD>2.0.CO;2
  • Rojas, M., Multiply nested regional climate simulation for southern South America: Sensitivity to model resolution (2006) Monthly Weather Review, 134 (8), pp. 2208-2223. , DOI 10.1175/MWR3167.1
  • Da Rocha, R.P., Morales, C.A., Cuadra, S.V., Ambrizzi, T., Precipitation diurnal cycle and summer climatology assessment over South America: An evaluation of Regional Climate Model version 3 simulations (2009) Journal of Geophysical Research, 114 (D10), pp. 1-19. , 2-s2.0-67650422498 10.1029/2008JD010212 D10108
  • Solman, S.A., Pessacg, N.L., Regional climate simulations over South America: Sensitivity to model physics and to the treatment of lateral boundary conditions using the MM5 model (2012) Climate Dynamics, 38 (1-2), pp. 281-300. , 2-s2.0-84855292284 10.1007/s00382-011-1049-6
  • Fernandez, J.P.R., Franchito, S.H., Rao, V.B., Simulation of the summer circulation over South America by two regional climate models. Part I: Mean climatology (2006) Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 86 (1-4), pp. 247-260. , DOI 10.1007/s00704-005-0212-6, Special issue on The Regional Climate research NETwork (RegCNET) (Guest editors: F. Giorgi and L. Sloan)
  • Giorgi, F., Bi, X., Pal, J.S., Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. I. Present-day climate (1961-1990) (2004) Climate Dynamics, 22 (6-7), pp. 733-756. , DOI 10.1007/s00382-004-0409-x
  • Leung, L.R., Qian, Y., Bian, X., Hydroclimate of the western United States based on observations and regional climate simulation of 1981-2000. Part I: Seasonal statistics (2003) Journal of Climate, 16 (12), pp. 1892-1911. , DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<1892:HOTWUS>2.0.CO;2
  • Liang, X.Z., Li, L., Kunkel, K., Regional climate model simulation of US precipitation during 1982-2002 - Part I: Annual cycle (2004) Journal of Climate, 17, pp. 3510-3528
  • Giorgi, F., Bi, X., Pal, J., Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. II: Climate change scenarios (2071-2100) (2004) Climate Dynamics, 23 (7-8), pp. 839-858. , 2-s2.0-12744260352 10.1007/s00382-004-0467-0
  • Raisanen, J., Rummukainen, M., Ullerstig, A., Downscaling of greenhouse gas induced climate change in two GCMs with the Rossby Centre regional climate model for Northern Europe (2001) Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 53 (2), pp. 168-191
  • Seth, A., Rauscher, S.A., Camargo, S.J., Qian, J.-H., Pal, J.S., RegCM3 regional climatologies for South America using reanalysis and ECHAM global model driving fields (2007) Climate Dynamics, 28 (5), pp. 461-480. , DOI 10.1007/s00382-006-0191-z
  • Rauscher, S.A., Seth, A., Liebmann, B., Qian, J.-H., Camargo, S.J., Regional climate model-simulated timing and character of seasonal rains in South America (2007) Monthly Weather Review, 135 (7), pp. 2642-2657. , DOI 10.1175/MWR3424.1
  • Solman, S.A., Nuñez, M.N., Cabré, M.F., Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I: Present climate (2008) Climate Dynamics, 30 (5), pp. 533-552. , 2-s2.0-39449121108 10.1007/s00382-007-0304-3
  • Reboita, M.S., Da Rocha, R.P., Ambrizzi, T., Sugahara, S., South Atlantic Ocean cyclogenesis climatology simulated by regional climate model (RegCM3) (2010) Climate Dynamics, 35 (7), pp. 1331-1347. , 2-s2.0-78650075728 10.1007/s00382-009-0668-7
  • Reboita, M.S., Da Rocha, R.P., Ambrizzi, T., Caetano, E., An assessment of the latent and sensible heat flux on the simulated regional climate over Southwestern South Atlantic Ocean (2010) Climate Dynamics, 34 (6), pp. 873-889. , 2-s2.0-77951879040 10.1007/s00382-009-0681-x
  • Silvestri, G., Vera, C., Jacob, D., Pfeifer, S., Teichmann, C., A high-resolution 43-year atmospheric hindcast for South America generated with the MPI regional model (2009) Climate Dynamics, 32 (5), pp. 693-709. , 2-s2.0-60349092031 10.1007/s00382-008-0423-5
  • Pesquero, J.F., Chou, S.C., Nobre, C.A., Marengo, J.A., Climate downscaling over South America for 1961-1970 using the Eta Model (2010) Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99 (1-2), pp. 75-93. , 2-s2.0-70849095716 10.1007/s00704-009-0123-z
  • Nuñez, M., Solman, S.A., Cabré, M.F., Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. II: Climate change scenarios in the late twenty-first century (2009) Climate Dynamics, 32 (7-8), pp. 1081-1095. , 2-s2.0-67349168405 10.1007/s00382-008-0449-8
  • Garreaud, R.D., Falvey, M., The coastal winds off western subtropical South America in future climate scenarios (2009) International Journal of Climatology, 29 (4), pp. 543-554. , 2-s2.0-66249119261 10.1002/joc.1716
  • Marengo, J.A., Jones, R., Alves, L.M., Valverde, M.C., Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in south america as derived from the precis regional climate modeling system (2009) International Journal of Climatology, 29 (15), pp. 2241-2255. , 2-s2.0-71449109811 10.1002/joc.1863
  • Marengo, J.A., Chou, S.C., Kay, G., Alves, L.M., Pesquero, J.F., Soares, W.R., Santos, D.C., Tavares, P., Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections: Climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Paraná River basins (2012) Climate Dynamics, 38 (9-10), pp. 1829-1848. , 2-s2.0-84860343606 10.1007/s00382-011-1155-5
  • Urrutia, R., Vuille, M., Climate change projections for the tropical Andes using a regional climate model: Temperature and precipitation simulations for the end of the 21st century (2009) Journal of Geophysical Research, 114 (D2). , 2-s2.0-62749129481 10.1029/2008JD011021 D02108
  • Sörensson, A.A., Menéndez, C.G., Ruscica, R., Alexander, P., Samuelsson, P., Willén, U., Projected precipitation changes in South America: A dynamical downscaling within CLARIS (2010) Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 19 (4), pp. 347-355. , 2-s2.0-78649771421 10.1127/0941-2948/2010/0467
  • Laprise, R., Kornic, D., Rapaic, M., Separovic, L., Leduc, M., Nikiema, O., Di Luca, A., Sijacki, Dj., Considerations of domain size and large-scale driving for nested Regional Climate Models: Impact on internal variability and skill at developing small-scale details (2009) Climate Change: Inferences from Paleoclimate and Regional Aspects, Proceedings of the Milutin Milankovitch 130th Anniversary Symposium, pp. 181-199. , part 4 Springer 10.1007/978-3-7091-0973-1-142012
  • Rauscher, S.A., Seth, A., Qian, J.-H., Camargo, S.J., Domain choice in an experimental nested modeling prediction system for South America (2006) Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 86 (1-4), pp. 229-246. , DOI 10.1007/s00704-006-0206-z, Special issue on The Regional Climate research NETwork (RegCNET) (Guest editors: F. Giorgi and L. Sloan)
  • Christensen, J.H., Hewitson, B., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, I., Jones, R., Miller, H.L., Regional climate projections (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group i to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 847-940. , Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press
  • Vera, C., Silvestri, G., Liebmann, B., Gonzalez, P., Climate change scenarios for seasonal precipitation in South America from IPCC-AR4 models (2006) Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (13), pp. L13707. , DOI 10.1029/2006GL025759
  • Deque, M., Rowell, D.P., Luthi, D., Giorgi, F., Christensen, J.H., Rockel, B., Jacob, D., Van Den Hurk, B., An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: Assessing uncertainties in model projections (2007) Climatic Change, 81 (SUPPL. 1), pp. 53-70. , DOI 10.1007/s10584-006-9228-x, Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects: The PRUDENCE Project
  • Solman, S.A., Pessacg, N.L., Evaluating uncertainties in regional climate simulations over South America at the seasonal scale (2012) Climate Dynamics, 39 (1), pp. 59-76. , 2-s2.0-80054866867 10.1007/s00382-011-1219-6
  • Cuadra, S.V., Da Rocha, R.P., Sensitivity of regional climatic simulation over Southeastern South America to SST specification during austral summer (2007) International Journal of Climatology, 27 (6), pp. 793-804. , DOI 10.1002/joc.1431
  • Christensen, J.H., Carter, T.R., Rummukainen, M., Amanatidis, G., Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: The PRUDENCE project (2007) Climatic Change, 81 (SUPPL. 1), pp. 1-6. , DOI 10.1007/s10584-006-9211-6, Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects: The PRUDENCE Project
  • Hewitt, C.D., The ENSEMBLES project: Providing ensemble based predictions of climate changes and their impacts (2005) EGGS Newsletter, 13, pp. 22-25
  • Mearns, L., Gutowski, W.J., Jones, R., Leung, L., McGinnis, S., Nunes, A.M.B., Qian, Y., A regional climate change assessment program for North America (2009) EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union, 90 (36), pp. 311-312. , 10.1029/2009EO360002
  • Boulanger, J.-P., Brasseur, G., Carril, A.F., De Castro, M., Degallier, N., Ereño, C., Le Treut, H., Terra, R., A Europe-South America network for climate change assessment and impact studies (2010) Climatic Change, 98 (3), pp. 307-329. , 2-s2.0-77149142265 10.1007/s10584-009-9734-8
  • Menéndez, C.G., De Castro, M., Boulanger, J.-P., D'Onofrio, A., Sanchez, E., Sörensson, A.A., Blazquez, J., Teichmann, C., Downscaling extreme month-long anomalies in southern South America (2010) Climatic Change, 98 (3), pp. 379-403. , 2-s2.0-77149168728 10.1007/s10584-009-9739-3
  • Carril, A., Menéndez, C., Remedio, A., Robledo, F., Sörensson, A., Tencer, B., Boulanger, J.P., Zaninelli, P., Assessment of a multi-RCM ensemble for South Eastern South America (2012) Climate Dynamics, 39, pp. 2747-2768
  • Marengo, J.A., Ambrizzi, T., Use of regional climate models in impacts assessments and adaptations studies from continental to regional and local scales: The CREAS (Regional Climate Change Scenarios for South America) initiative in South America (2006) Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography (ICSHMO '06), pp. 291-296
  • Marengo, J.A., Ambrizzi, T., Da Rocha, R.P., Alves, L.M., Cuadra, S.V., Valverde, M.C., Torres, R.R., Ferraz, S.E.T., Future change of climate in South America in the late twenty-first century: Intercomparison of scenarios from three regional climate models (2010) Climate Dynamics, 35 (6), pp. 1089-1113. , 2-s2.0-77958151038 10.1007/s00382-009-0721-6
  • Chou, S.C., Marengo, J.A., Lyra, A.A., Sueiro, G., Pesquero, J.F., Alves, L.M., Kay, G., Tavares, P., Downscaling of South America present climate driven by 4-member HadCM3 runs (2012) Climate Dynamics, 38 (3-4), pp. 635-653. , 2-s2.0-84856256515 10.1007/s00382-011-1002-8
  • Uppala, S., Dee, D., Kobayashi, S., Berrisford, P., Simmons, A., Towards a climate adapt assimilation system: Status update of ERAInterim (2008) ECMWF Newsletter, 115, pp. 12-18
  • Solman, S., Sanchez, E., Samuelsson, P., Da Rocha, R.P., Li, L., Marengo, J.A., Pessacq, N.L., Jacob, D., Evaluation of an ensemble of regional climate model simulations over South America driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis: Model performance and uncertainties (2013) Climate Dynamics, , 10.1007/s00382-013-1667-2
  • Rauscher, S.A., Coppola, E., Piani, C., Giorgi, F., Resolution effects on regional climate model simulations of seasonal precipitation over Europe (2010) Climate Dynamics, 35 (4), pp. 685-711. , 2-s2.0-77956094926 10.1007/s00382-009-0607-7
  • Tencer, B., Rusticucci, M., Jones, P., Lister, D., A southeastern south american daily gridded dataset of observed surface minimum and maximum temperature for 1961-2000 (2011) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (10), pp. 1339-1346. , 2-s2.0-80555134711 10.1175/2011BAMS3148.1

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
(2013) . Regional climate modeling over south america: A review. Advances in Meteorology, 2013.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/504357
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Solman, S.A. "Regional climate modeling over south america: A review" . Advances in Meteorology 2013 (2013).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/504357
---------- MLA ----------
Solman, S.A. "Regional climate modeling over south america: A review" . Advances in Meteorology, vol. 2013, 2013.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/504357
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Solman, S.A. Regional climate modeling over south america: A review. Adv. Meteorol. 2013;2013.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/504357