Artículo

Guerrero, M.; Nones, M.; Saurral, R.; Montroull, N.; Szupiany, R.N. "Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change" (2013) International Journal of River Basin Management. 11(4):423-437
Estamos trabajando para incorporar este artículo al repositorio
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

This paper presents an analysis of the sediment dynamics that takes place at different scales within the Middle and the Lower Parana River in the La Plata Basin. The aim of this study is to provide a multi-disciplinary and multi-scale approach for the prediction of river future morphology in the context of climate change, the intended use of which is the prognosis of river morphodynamics' long-term impact on manmade structures and activities over or near the river. The study is based on three levels of mathematical modelling, with the output of wider-scale models providing the input conditions for more specific ones. Climate models give the input ensemble, i.e. future precipitation and temperature over La Plata Basin. The semi-distributed macroscale variable infiltration capacity hydrological model simulates the flow discharge time series that are applied to an own-developed 1D morphodynamic model. The 1D model simulates future rate of sediment transport and corresponding bed-level changes at watershed scale and provides the boundary conditions for a 2D model. Therefore, streamflow divagations at channel scale are simulated by means of the MIKE21C code developed by the Danish Hydraulic Institute. The analysis indicates a rather low sensitivity of the Parana River bed profile, i.e. 1D morphology, to the increase predicted in flow discharge, whereas the streamflow appreciably divagates. In particular, surpassing an upper bound in the most frequent discharge appears effective in driving the actual bifurcated morphology into a meandering-multithread configuration. © 2013 © 2013 International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change
Autor:Guerrero, M.; Nones, M.; Saurral, R.; Montroull, N.; Szupiany, R.N.
Filiación:Hydraulic Laboratory, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Research Center for Constructions - Fluid Dynamics Unit, University of Bologna, via del Lazzaretto 15/5, 40121, Bologna, Italy
Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), UMI IFAECI/CNRS and Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (FCEN-UBA), Buenos Aires, Argentina
Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Universidad National del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina
Palabras clave:climate change impact; morphodynamics; Parana River; river morphology; sediment transport; climate change; climate modeling; fluvial geomorphology; hydrological modeling; meander; morphodynamics; numerical model; sediment transport; streamflow; La Plata Basin; Parana River
Año:2013
Volumen:11
Número:4
Página de inicio:423
Página de fin:437
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.826234
Título revista:International Journal of River Basin Management
Título revista abreviado:Int. J. River Basin Manage.
ISSN:15715124
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v11_n4_p423_Guerrero

Referencias:

  • Amsler, M.L., Ramonell, C.G., Toniolo, H.A., Morphologic changes in the Paraná River channel (Argentina) in the light of the climate variability during the 20th century (2005) Geomorphology, 70 (3), pp. 257-278
  • Amsler, M.L., Drago, E.C., Paira, A.R., Fluvial sediments: main channel and floodplain interrelationship (2007) The Middle Paranà River: Limnology of a subtropical Wetland, pp. 123-142. , In: Iriondo M.H., Paggi J.C., Parma M.J., editors Berlin, Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg,: Springler-Verlag
  • Biedenharn, D.S., (1999) A practical guide to effective discharge calculation (Appendix A), , Vicksburg, MS, Vicksburg, MS,: U.S. Army Corps of Eng
  • Cardini, J.C., Desarrollo de una erosión extraordinaria en la margen del río Paraná en Lavalle (2009) Proceedings of Cuarto Simposio Regional sobre Hidráulica de Ríos, Salta, Argentina, 2009, , in Spanish
  • Castro, S.L., (2007) Evolución morfológica histórica del cauce del río Paranà en torno a Rosario, , (km 456-406), CONAGUA 2007, Argentina. in Spanish
  • (2002) Mike21C river hydrodynamics and morphology user guide, , DHI Water & Environment, DHI, Horsholm, Denmark
  • Di Silvio, G., Peviani, M., Modelling Short- and Long-Term evolution of mountain rivers: an application to the torrent Mallero (Italy) (1989) Lecture notes in earth sciences, 37, Fluvial Hydraulics of Mountain Regions, pp. 293-315. , In: A. Armanini and G. Di Silvio, eds, Springer Verlag, 1991
  • (2000) Global soil data products (IGBP-DIS), , http://daac.ornl.gov/SOILS/guides/igbp.html, Distributed Archive Data Center, [online]. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center, CD-ROM. Available from: [Accessed 15 January 2013]
  • Doyle, M.E., Barros, V.R., Attribution of the river flow growth in the Plata Basin (2011) International Journal of Climatology, 31 (15), pp. 2234-2248
  • Engelund, F., Hansen, E., (1969) A monograph on sediment transport in alluvial streams, , CopenhagenDenmark, Copenhagen,: Teknisk Vorlag
  • Escalante, R., (2008) Estado de Situación de las Vías Navegables, , Presented in the workshop Estudio del Modelo de la Red de Transporte Europeo con El Resto del Mundo - Worldnet, June 2008. in Spanish
  • Fasolato, G., Validity of uniform flow hypothesis in one-dimensional morphodynamic models (2011) Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, ASCE, 37 (2), pp. 183-195
  • Garcia, N.O., Vargas, W.M., The temporal climatic variability in the Rio de la Plata basin displayed by the river discharges (1998) Climatic Change, 38 (3), pp. 359-379
  • Garcia, N.O., Vargas, W.M., Venencio, M., About of the 1970/71 climatic jump on the Rio de la Plata basin (2002) Proceedings of the 16th Conference on Hydrology, American Meteorological Society, pp. 138-141
  • Garde, R.J., Ranga Raju, K.G., (1977) Mechanism of sediment transportation and alluvial stream problems, , New DelhiIndia, New Delhi,: Wiley Eastern Ltd
  • Guerrero, M., Lamberti, A., Flow field and morphology mapping using ADCP and multibeam techniques: Survey in the Po River (2012) Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, ASCE, 137 (12), pp. 1576-1587
  • Guerrero, M., Lamberti, A., Bed-roughness investigation for a 2-D model calibration: the San Martìn case study at Lower Paranà (2013) International Journal of Sediment Research, special issue Sediment loads and processes in large rivers
  • Guerrero, M., Szupiany, R.N., Amsler, M., Comparison of acoustic backscattering techniques for suspended sediments investigations (2011) Flow Measurements and Instrumentation, 22 (5), pp. 392-401
  • Guerrero, M., Ruther, N., Szupiany, R., Laboratory validation of ADCP techniques for suspended sediments investigation (2012) Flow Measurements and Instrumentation, 23 (1), pp. 40-48
  • Guerrero, M., Di Federico, V., Lamberti, A., Calibration of a 2-D morphodynamic model using water-sediment flux maps derived from an ADCP recording (2013) Journal of Hydroinformatics, 15 (3), pp. 813-828
  • Hansen, M., Global land cover classification at 1 km resolution using a classification tree approach (2000) Int. J. Remote Sens., 21 (6-7), pp. 1331-1364
  • Hastings, D.A., (1999) The global land one-kilometer base elevation (GLOBE) digital elevation model, , http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/topo/globe.html, Version 1.0 [online]. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Geophysical Data Center, 325 Broadway, CO. Available from
  • Liang, X., A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for GSMs (1994) J. Geophys. Res., 99 (D7), pp. 14415-14428
  • Liang, X., Lettenmaier, D., Wood, E., One-dimensional statistical dynamic representation of subgrid spatial variability of precipitation in the two-layer Variable Infiltration Capacity model (1996) J. Geophys. Res., 101 (D16), pp. 21403-21422
  • Maciel, F., Díaz, A., Terra, R., Variabilidad multi-anual de caudales en ríos de La Cuenca del Plata (2010) Proceedings of the IAHR-AIIH, XXIV Congreso Latino Americano de hidráulica, , Punta del Este, Uruguay, November 2010. in Spanish
  • Montroull, N., (2012) Escenarios hidrológicos futuros en la región de los Esteros del Iberá en el contexto del cambio climático, , In press in Meteorológica. in Spanish
  • Nijssen, B., Streamflow simulation for continental-scale river basins (1997) Water Resource Research, 33 (4), pp. 711-724
  • Nones, M., (2011) Aspects of riverine hydro-morpho-biodynamics at watershed scale, , http://paduaresearch.cab.unipd.it/4468, [online]. Thesis (PhD). University of Padua, Italy. Available from: [Accessed 15 January 2013]
  • Nones, M., Guerrero, M., Gaeta, M.G., Analysis of the 1-D morphological evolution of the Paranà River (2012) Submitted to Journal of Hydraulic Engineering
  • Olesen, K.W., Bed topography in shallow river bends. Delft: Faculty of Civil Engineering (1987); Saurral, R., The hydrologic cycle of the La Plata Basin in the WCRP-CMIP3 multimodel dataset (2010) Journal of Hydrometeorology, 11 (5), pp. 1083-1102
  • Saurral, R., Montroull, N., Camilloni, I., (2013) Development of statistically unbiased 21st century hydrology scenarios over La Plata Basin, , International Journal of River Basin Management, special issue Impact Assessment of Climate Change on La Plata Basin Water Resources
  • Su, F., Lettenmaier, D., Estimation of surface water budget of La Plata Basin (2009) Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10 (4), pp. 981-998
  • Talmon, A.M., (1992) Bed topography of river bends with suspended sediment transport, , Thesis (PhD). Delft Univ. of Technology, The Netherlands
  • Williams, R.D., Monitoring braided river change using terrestrial laser scanning and optical bathymetric mapping (2011) Geomorphological mapping: Methods and applications, pp. 507-532. , In: Smith M., Paron P., Griffiths J., editors Amsterdam, Amsterdam,: Elsevier, [Accessed 15 January 2013]

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Guerrero, M., Nones, M., Saurral, R., Montroull, N. & Szupiany, R.N. (2013) . Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change. International Journal of River Basin Management, 11(4), 423-437.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.826234
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Guerrero, M., Nones, M., Saurral, R., Montroull, N., Szupiany, R.N. "Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change" . International Journal of River Basin Management 11, no. 4 (2013) : 423-437.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.826234
---------- MLA ----------
Guerrero, M., Nones, M., Saurral, R., Montroull, N., Szupiany, R.N. "Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change" . International Journal of River Basin Management, vol. 11, no. 4, 2013, pp. 423-437.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.826234
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Guerrero, M., Nones, M., Saurral, R., Montroull, N., Szupiany, R.N. Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change. Int. J. River Basin Manage. 2013;11(4):423-437.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.826234