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Abstract:

Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Infiltration Capacity hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to the current conditions the temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins could be expected. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. © 2013 © 2013 International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
Autor:Camilloni, I.A.; Saurral, R.I.; Montroull, N.B.
Filiación:Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA) - UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Int. Guiraldes 2160, Ciudad Univ., Pabellón 2, C1428EGA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Palabras clave:Climate change; flooding; future scenarios; Paraná River; Uruguay River; climate change; flooding; future prospect; hydrological modeling; river basin; twenty first century; La Plata Basin; Parana River; Uruguay River
Año:2013
Volumen:11
Número:4
Página de inicio:389
Página de fin:399
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
Título revista:International Journal of River Basin Management
Título revista abreviado:Int. J. River Basin Manage.
ISSN:15715124
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v11_n4_p389_Camilloni

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Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Camilloni, I.A., Saurral, R.I. & Montroull, N.B. (2013) . Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios. International Journal of River Basin Management, 11(4), 389-399.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Camilloni, I.A., Saurral, R.I., Montroull, N.B. "Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios" . International Journal of River Basin Management 11, no. 4 (2013) : 389-399.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
---------- MLA ----------
Camilloni, I.A., Saurral, R.I., Montroull, N.B. "Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios" . International Journal of River Basin Management, vol. 11, no. 4, 2013, pp. 389-399.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Camilloni, I.A., Saurral, R.I., Montroull, N.B. Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios. Int. J. River Basin Manage. 2013;11(4):389-399.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2013.819006