Artículo

Carvalho, A.; Monteiro, A.; Flannigan, M.; Solman, S.; Miranda, A.I.; Borrego, C. "Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality" (2011) Atmospheric Environment. 45(31):5545-5553
Estamos trabajando para incorporar este artículo al repositorio
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

In a future climate scenario forest fire activity over Portugal will substantially increase and consequently area burned and forest fire emissions to the atmosphere are also expected to increase. This study investigated the impact of future forest fire emissions on air quality over Portugal under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Reference and future climate change scenarios were simulated using the MM5/CHIMERE air quality modelling system, which was applied over Europe and over Portugal, using nesting capabilities. The initial and boundary conditions were provided by the HadAM3P model simulations for the reference and the future climate. The forest fire emissions were estimated using a methodology, which included the selection of emission factors for each pollutant, burning efficiency, fuel loads and the predicted area burned. These emissions were added to the simulation grid using specific parameterizations for their vertical distribution. Modelling results for Portugal pointed out that future forest fire activity will increase the O3 concentrations of almost 23 μg m-3 by 2100 but a decrease of approximately 6 μg m-3 is detected close to the main forest fire locations. Future forest fire emissions will also impact the PM10 concentrations over Portugal with increases reaching 20 μg m-3 along the Northern coastal region in July. The highest increases are estimated over the north and centre of Portugal where the area burned projections in future climate are higher. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality
Autor:Carvalho, A.; Monteiro, A.; Flannigan, M.; Solman, S.; Miranda, A.I.; Borrego, C.
Filiación:CESAM and Department of Environment and Planning, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, Portugal
University of Alberta, Canada
CIMA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Palabras clave:Air quality modelling; Climate change; Forest fire emissions; Future fire activity; Ozone; Particulate matter; Air quality modelling; Air quality modelling system; Changing climate; Coastal regions; Emission factors; Forest fire emissions; Forest fires; Fuel loads; Future climate; Future fire activity; Model simulation; Parameterizations; Particulate Matter; PM10 concentration; Portugal; Simulation Grid; Vertical distributions; Air quality; Climate models; Coastal zones; Computer simulation; Deforestation; Fires; Ozone; Particulate emissions; Climate change; fuel; ozone; air quality; atmospheric modeling; atmospheric pollution; biogenic emission; climate change; forest fire; ozone; particulate matter; spatiotemporal analysis; air pollution; air quality; article; climate change; concentration (parameters); controlled study; environmental impact; fire; forest; forest fire emission; Portugal; prediction; priority journal; simulation; Air Quality; Climates; Coasts; Deforestation; Europe; Forest Fires; Mathematical Models; Ozone; Parametric Equations; Particulate Emissions; Portugal; Simulation; Portugal
Año:2011
Volumen:45
Número:31
Página de inicio:5545
Página de fin:5553
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010
Título revista:Atmospheric Environment
Título revista abreviado:Atmos. Environ.
ISSN:13522310
CODEN:AENVE
CAS:ozone, 10028-15-6
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_13522310_v45_n31_p5545_Carvalho

Referencias:

  • Amiro, B., Stocks, B., Alexander, M., Flannigan, M., Wotton, B., Fire, climate change, carbon and fuel management in the Canadian boreal forest (2001) International Journal Wildland Fire, 10, pp. 405-441
  • Anagnostopoulou, C.H.R., Tolika, K., Maheras, P., Kutiel, H., Flocas, H.A., Performance of the general circulation HadAM3P model in simulating circulation types over the Mediterranean region (2008) International Journal Climatology, 28 (2), pp. 185-203
  • Bessagnet, B., Hodzic, A., Vautard, R., Beekmann, M., Cheinet, S., Honore, C., Liousse, C., Rouil, L., Aerosol modeling with CHIMERE - preliminary evaluation at the continental scale (2004) Atmospheric Environment, 38, pp. 2803-2817
  • Borrego, C., Monteiro, A., Ferreira, J., Miranda, A.I., Costa, A.M., Carvalho, A.C., Lopes, M., Procedures for estimation of modelling uncertainty in air quality assessment (2008) Environment International, 34, pp. 613-620
  • Carvalho, A.C., Carvalho, A., Gelpi, I., Barreiro, M., Borrego, C., Miranda, A.I., Perez-Munuzuri, V., Influence of topography and land use on pollutants dispersion in the Atlantic coast of Iberian Peninsula (2006) Atmospheric Environment, 40 (21), pp. 3969-3982
  • Carvalho, A., Martins, V., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., (2007), Forest fire emissions under climate change: an air quality perspective, In: Proceedings of the 4th International Wildland Fire Conference, 13-17 May, Seville, Spain. (Proceedings in CD Rom); Carvalho, A., Flannigan, M., Logan, K., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Fire activity in Portugal and its relationship to the weather and the Canadian fire weather index system (2008) International Journal of Wildland Fire, 17, pp. 328-338
  • Carvalho, A., Flannigan, M., Logan, K., Gowman, L., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., The impact of spatial resolution on area burned and fire occurrence projections in Portugal under climate change (2010) Climatic Change, 98, pp. 177-197
  • Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Climate-driven changes in air quality over Europe by the end of the 21st century, with special reference to Portugal (2010) Environment Science & Policy, I3, pp. 445-458
  • Chin, M., Ginoux, P., Kinne, S., Holben, B., Duncan, B., Martin, R., Logan, J., Nakajima, T., Tropospheric aerosol optical thickness from the GOCART model and comparisons with satellite and sunphotometer measurements (2002) Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59, pp. 461-483
  • Comrie, A.C., An all-season synoptic climatology of air pollution in the US-Mexico border region (1996) Professional Geographer, 48 (3), pp. 237-251
  • Christensen, J.H., Christensen, O.B., A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century (2007) Climatic Change, 81, pp. 7-30
  • Crutzen, P., Andreae, M., Biomass burning in the tropics: impact on atmospheric chemistry and biogeochemical cycles (1990) Science, 250, pp. 1669-1678
  • Crutzen, P., Heidt, L., Krasnec, J., Pollock, W., Seiler, W., Biomass burning as a source of atmospheric gases CO, H2, N2O, NO, CH3Cl and COS (1979) Nature, 282 (5736), pp. 253-256
  • (2006), DGRF - Direcção Geral dos Recursos Florestais (Forestry Resources General Directorate), Incêndios Florestais - Relatório 2005. Divisão de Defesa da Floresta contra Incêndios, Direcção Geral dos Recu; Eck, T., Holben, B., Reid, J., O'Neill, N., Schafer, J., Dubovik, O., Smirnov, A., Artaxo, O., High aerosol optical depth biomass burning events: a comparison of optical properties for different source regions (2003) Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (20), p. 2035
  • Fernández, J., Montávez, J., Sáenz, J., González-Rouco, J., Zorita, E., Sensitivity of the MM5 mesoscale model to physical parameterizations for regional climate studies: annual cycle (2007) Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, pp. D04101
  • Flannigan, M.D., Logan, K.A., Amiro, B.D., Skinner, W.R., Stocks, B.J., Future area burned in Canada (2005) Climatic Change, 72, pp. 1-16
  • Ginoux, P., Chin, M., Tegen, I., Prospero, J.M., Holben, B., Dubovik, O., Lin, S.J., Sources and distributions of dust aerosols simulated with the GOCART model (2001) Journal of Geophysical Research, 106, pp. 20255-20273
  • Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C.A., Banks, H., Gregory, J.M., Johns, T.C., Mitchell, J.F.B., Wood, R.A., The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley centre coupled model without flux adjustments (2000) Climate Dynamics, 16, pp. 147-168
  • Grell, G., Dudhia, J., Stauffer, D., (1994) A Description of the Fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), , Tech. Rep. NCAR/TN-398+STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
  • Hansen, M., DeFries, R., Townsend, J., Sohlberg, R., Global land cover classification at 1 km spatial resolution using a classification tree approach (2000) International Journal of Remote Sensing, 21 (6-7), pp. 1331-1364
  • Hauglustaine, D.A., Lathiere, J., Szopa, S., Folberth, G.A., Future tropospheric ozone simulated with a climate-chemistry-biosphere model (2005) Geophysics Research Letters, 32, pp. L24807
  • Hodzic, A., Vautard, R., Chepfer, H., Goloub, P., Evolution of aerosol optical thickness over Europe during the August 2003 heat wave as seen from POLDER data and CHIMERE model simulations (2006) Atmospheric Chemistry Physics, 6, pp. 1853-1864
  • Hodzic, A., Madronich, S., Bohn, B., Massie, S., Menut, L., Wiedinmyer, C., Wildfire particulate matter in Europe during summer 2003: meso-scale modeling of smoke emissions, transport and radiative effects (2007) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7 (15), pp. 4043-4064
  • Hoinka, K., Carvalho, A., Miranda, A.I., Regional-scale weather patterns and wildland fires in central Portugal (2009) International Journal of Wildland Fire, 18, pp. 36-49
  • Climate change 2007: the physical science basis (2007) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, p. 996. , Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (Eds., IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  • Jones, R., Murphy, J., Hassell, D., Taylor, R., (2001) Ensemble Mean Changes in a Simulation of the European Climate of 2071-2100 Using the New Hadley Centre Regional Modelling System HadAM3H/HadRM3H, , Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell
  • Jones, T.C., Gregory, J.M., Ingram, W.J., Johnson, C.E., Jones, A., Lowe, J.A., Mithcell, J.F.B., Woodage, M.J., Anthropogenic climate change for 1860-2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios (2003) Climate Dynamics, 20, pp. 583-612
  • Jones, R.G., Murphy, J.M., Hassel, D.C., Woodage, M.J., (2005) A High Resolution Atmospheric GCM for the Generation of Regional Climate Scenarios, , Hadley Center Technical Note 63, Met Office, Exeter, UK
  • Miranda, A.I., Coutinho, M., Borrego, C., Forest fires emissions in Portugal: a contribution to global warming? (1994) Environmental Pollution, 83, pp. 121-123
  • Miranda, A.I., An integrated numerical system to estimate air quality effects of forest fires (2004) International Journal of Wildland Fire, 13, pp. 217-226
  • Miranda, A.I., Ferreira, J., Valente, J., Santos, P., Amorim, J.H., Borrego, C., Smoke measurements during Gestosa 2002 experimental field fires (2005) International Journal of Wildland Fire, 14, pp. 107-116
  • Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Sousa, M., Valente, J., Barbosa, P., Carvalho, A., (2005) Model of Forest Fire Emissions to the Atmosphere. Deliverable D252 of SPREAD Project (EVG1-CT-2001-00043), p. 48. , Department of Environment and Planning, University of Aveiro AMB-QA-07/2005, Aveiro, Portugal
  • Miranda, A.I., Monteiro, A., Martins, V., Carvalho, A., Schaap, M., Builtjes, P., Borrego, C., (2007), pp. 185-192. , Forest fires impact on air quality over Portugal, In: Proceedings of the 29th Int. Tech. Meeting on Air Pollution Modelling and its Application, 24-28 September, Aveiro, Portugal; Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Martins, H., Martins, V., Amorim, J.H., Valente, J., Carvalho, A., Forest fire emissions and air pollution in southern Europe (2009) Earth Observation of Wildland Fires in Mediterranean Ecosystems, pp. 171-187. , ISBN: 978-3-642-01753-7 (Print) 978-3-642-01754-4 (Online), Springer Berlin, Heidelberg, Chapter 12, E. Chuvieco (Ed.)
  • Monteiro, A., Vautard, R., Borrego, C., Miranda, A.I., Long-term simulations of photo oxidant pollution over Portugal using the CHIMERE model (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39, pp. 3089-3101
  • Monteiro, A., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Vautard, R., Ferreira, J., Perez, A.T., Long-term assessment of particulate matter using CHIMERE model (2007) Atmospheric Environment, 41, pp. 7726-7738
  • Moriondo, M., Good, P., Durão, R., Bindi, M., Giannakopoulos, C., Corte-Real, J., Potential impact of climate change on fire risk in the Mediterranean area (2006) Climate Research, 31, pp. 85-95
  • Nakicenovic, N., Alcamo, J., Davis, G., de Vries, B., Fenhann, J., Gaffin, S., Gregory, K., Dadi, Z., (2000) IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, p. 599. , Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA
  • Ottmar, R., Miranda, A.I., Sandberg, D., Characterizing sources of emissions from wildland fires (2009) Developments in Environmental Science, 8, pp. 61-78. , Chapter 3, Elsevier, Amsterdam, A. Bytnerowicz, M. Arbaugh, A. Riebau, C. Andersen (Eds.) Wild Land Fires and Air Pollution
  • Pope, V.D., Gallani, M.L., Rowntree, P.R., Stratton, R.A., The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley centre climate model: HadAM3 (2000) Climate Dynamics, 16, pp. 123-146
  • Pouliot, G., Pierce, T., Vukovich, J., (2005), Wildland fire emission modeling for CMAQ: an update. In: Proceedings of the 4th Annual CMAS Models-3 Users' Conference, 26-28 Sept., Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Rowell, D.P., A scenario of European climate change for the late twenty-first century: seasonal means and interannual variability (2005) Climate Dynamics, 25, pp. 837-849
  • Schmidt, H., Derognat, C., Vautard, R., Beekmann, M., A comparison of simulated and observed ozone mixing ratios for the summer of 1998 in western Europe (2001) Atmospheric Environment, 35 (36), pp. 6277-6297
  • Simmonds, P., Manning, A., Derwent, R., Ciais, P., Ramonet, M., Kazan, V., Ryall, D., A burning question. Can recent growth rate anomalies in the greenhouse gases be attributed to large-scale biomass burning events? (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39, pp. 2513-2517
  • Sitch, S., Cox, P., Collins, W., Huntingford, C., Indirect radiative forcing of climate change through ozone effects on the land-carbon sink (2007) Nature, 448 (7155), pp. 791-794
  • Singh, H., Anderson, B., Brune, W., Cai, C., Cohen, R., Crawford, J., Pollution influences on atmospheric composition and chemistry at high northern latitudes: boreal and California forest fire emissions (2010) Atmospheric Environment, 44 (36), pp. 4553-4564
  • Spracklen, D.V., Mickley, L.J., Logan, J.A., Hudman, R.C., Yevich, R., Flannigan, M.D., Westerling, A.L., Impacts of climate change from 2000 to 2050 on wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations in the western United States (2009) Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, pp. D20301
  • Stern, R., Builtjes, P., Schaap, M., Timmermans, R., Vautard, R., Hodzic, A., Memmesheimer, M., Kerschbaumer, A., A model inter-comparison study focussing on episodes with elevated PM10 concentrations (2008) Atmospheric Environment, 42, pp. 4567-4588
  • Stohl, A., Williams, E., Wotawa, G., Kromp-Kolb, H., A European inventory for soil nitric oxide emissions and the effect of these emissions on the photochemical formation of ozone (1996) Atmospheric Enviornment, 30, pp. 374-375
  • Szopa, S., Hauglustaine, D., Vautard, R., Menut, L., Future global tropospheric ozone changes and impact on European air quality (2006) Geophysical Research Letters, 33, pp. L14805
  • Vautard, R., Bessagnet, B., Chin, M., Menut, L., On the contribution of natural Aeolian sources to particulate matter concentrations in Europe: testing hypotheses with a modelling approach (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39 (18), pp. 3291-3303
  • Vautard, R., Builtjes, P., Thunis, P., Cuvelier, K., Bedogni, M., Bessagnet, B., Honoré, C., van Loon, M., Evaluation and intercomparison of ozone and PM10 simulations by several chemistry-transport models over 4 European cities within the City-Delta project (2007) Atmospheric Environment, 41, pp. 173-188
  • Vestreng, V., (2003), Review and revision of emission data reported to CLRTAP, EMEP Status report, July; Viegas, D., Cruz, M., Ribeiro, L., Silva, A., Ollero, A., Arrue, B., Dios, R., Santos, P., Gestosa fire spread experiments (2002) Forest Fire Research & Wildland Fire Safety, , Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90-77017-72, X. Viegas (Ed.)
  • (2005), WRAP- Western Regional Air Partnership, 2005. Development of 200-04 Baseline period and 2018 projection year emission Inventories. Prepared by Air Sciences, Inc. Project No. 178-8, August

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Flannigan, M., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I. & Borrego, C. (2011) . Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality. Atmospheric Environment, 45(31), 5545-5553.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Flannigan, M., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C. "Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality" . Atmospheric Environment 45, no. 31 (2011) : 5545-5553.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010
---------- MLA ----------
Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Flannigan, M., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C. "Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality" . Atmospheric Environment, vol. 45, no. 31, 2011, pp. 5545-5553.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Flannigan, M., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C. Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality. Atmos. Environ. 2011;45(31):5545-5553.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.05.010