Abstract:
We explore the bias in monthly and seasonal mean precipitation simulated by ensembles of different regional climate models over South America within the context of the EU-FP6 CLARIS project (A Europe-South America Network for Climate Change Assessment and Impact Studies). We briefly described two series of coordinated simulations(i) Case studies of anomalous months for south-eastern South America performed with an ensemble of six models, and (ii) A multiyear simulation of the period 1991-2000 performed by four models. The models have been forced with the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting Reanalysis (ERA-40) and are compared to observational data compiled by the Climatic Research Unit (CRU). The ensemble-mean bias can be large when simulating particular extreme periods in La Plata Basin. Our multi-model analysis suggests that even though the ten-year ensemble mean is able to capture the major regional characteristics of seasonal mean precipitation for South America, models individually display considerable precipitation biases especially in tropical areas. The relatively good performance of the multimodel annual average over La Plata Basin results from the cancelation of offsetting errors in the individual models. © Gebrüder Borntraeger, Stuttgart 2010.
Registro:
Documento: |
Artículo
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Título: | CLARIS project: Towards climate downscaling in South America |
Autor: | Menéndez, C.G.; De Castro, M.; Sörensson, A.; Boulanger, J.-P. |
Filiación: | Centro de Investigaciones Del Mar y la Atmósfera, CONICET-UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Los Océanos, FCEN, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina Facultad de Ciencias Del Medio Ambiente, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat, UMR, CNRS/IRD/UPMC, Paris, France CIMA/CONICET/UBA, Pabellón 2, Piso 2, Ciudad Universitaria, 1428 Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Palabras clave: | Annual average; Climate change assessment; Climatic research; Down-scaling; Impact study; Individual models; La Plata basin; Medium range; Multi-model; Observational data; Reanalysis; Regional characteristics; Regional climate models; Seasonal mean precipitation; South America; Climate models; Computer simulation; Weather forecasting; Climate change; climate change; climate modeling; conference proceeding; downscaling; ensemble forecasting; error analysis; regional climate; weather forecasting; La Plata Basin |
Año: | 2010
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Volumen: | 19
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Número: | 4
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Página de inicio: | 357
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Página de fin: | 362
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DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2010/0459 |
Título revista: | Meteorologische Zeitschrift
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Título revista abreviado: | Meteorol. Z.
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ISSN: | 09412948
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CODEN: | MEZEE
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Registro: | https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_09412948_v19_n4_p357_Menendez |
Referencias:
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- Sörensson, A.A., Menéndez, C.G., Ruscica, R., Alexander, P., Samuelsson, P., Willén, U., AcceptedProjected precipitation changes in South Americaa dynamical downscaling within CLARIS Meteorol. Z., , DOI:0941-2948/2010/0467
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Citas:
---------- APA ----------
Menéndez, C.G., De Castro, M., Sörensson, A. & Boulanger, J.-P.
(2010)
. CLARIS project: Towards climate downscaling in South America. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 19(4), 357-362.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2010/0459---------- CHICAGO ----------
Menéndez, C.G., De Castro, M., Sörensson, A., Boulanger, J.-P.
"CLARIS project: Towards climate downscaling in South America"
. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 19, no. 4
(2010) : 357-362.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2010/0459---------- MLA ----------
Menéndez, C.G., De Castro, M., Sörensson, A., Boulanger, J.-P.
"CLARIS project: Towards climate downscaling in South America"
. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, vol. 19, no. 4, 2010, pp. 357-362.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2010/0459---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Menéndez, C.G., De Castro, M., Sörensson, A., Boulanger, J.-P. CLARIS project: Towards climate downscaling in South America. Meteorol. Z. 2010;19(4):357-362.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2010/0459