Artículo

Estamos trabajando para incorporar este artículo al repositorio
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

The interaction between land surface and atmosphere plays an important role in the climate system. Soil-atmosphere feedback mechanisms are analyzed by calculating the hydric condition (HC) of the soil from the water balance. Spatial coherence between HC and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) as well as the circulation patterns associated with rainfall shortages and excess was evaluated over the southern La Plata Basin, fulfilling one of the objectives of the CLARIS LPB project. Monthly precipitation, and maximum and minimum temperatures registered at 35 stations over the 1961-2008 period were used to calculate the HC and SPI indices while the characteristics of the associated circulation were derived from daily sea level pressure fields from NCEP DOE Reanalysis 2 for a domain covering South America. Our results show that the HC responds better to accumulated precipitation anomalies in relatively short time scales. Dry and wet months were selected based on the SPI, according to several thresholds that define the spatial extension of these events. This analysis depends on the region, indicating the diversity of dry and wet events. Nevertheless, spatial coherence between both indices was found for regional extreme events. The analysis of the circulation showed that specific daily surface circulation types contribute to wet and dry cases and have a predominant occurrence related to the climatology in the development of the extreme hydric events in the region. This research complements previous studies carried out with modeled data and shows the complexity in the propagation of the precipitation anomalies through the soil/land surface. © Inter-Research 2016.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Extreme rainfall, hydric conditions and associated atmospheric circulation in the southern la Plata Basin
Autor:Penalba, O.C.; Rivera, J.A.; Pántano, V.C.; Bettolli, M.L.
Filiación:Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Los Océanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Ciudad Universitaria, Intendente Guiraldes 2160, Pabellon 2, 2o piso, Buenos Aires, C1428EGA, Argentina
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Av. Rivadavia 1917, Buenos Aires, C1033AAJ, Argentina
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Av. Ruiz Leal s/n, Parque General San Martín, Mendoza, 5500, Argentina
Palabras clave:Atmospheric circulation; Dry months; Hydric condition; La Plata Basin; Precipitation extremes; Weather types; Wet months; air-soil interaction; atmospheric circulation; climate modeling; dry season; extreme event; feedback mechanism; moisture content; precipitation intensity; rainfall; regional climate; soil moisture; water budget; wet season; La Plata Basin
Año:2016
Volumen:68
Número:2-3
Página de inicio:215
Página de fin:229
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01353
Título revista:Climate Research
Título revista abreviado:Clim. Res.
ISSN:0936577X
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_0936577X_v68_n2-3_p215_Penalba

Referencias:

  • Agosta, E.A., Cavagnaro, M., Variaciones interanuales de la precipitación de verano y el rendimiento del cultivo de la vid en Mendoza (2010) Geoacta, 35, pp. 1-16
  • Agosta, E.A., Compagnucci, R.H., Procesos atmosféricos/ oceánicos de baja frecuencia sobre la cuenca sud - oeste del Atlántico Sur y la variabilidad de la precipi ta - ción en el centro-oeste de Argentina (2008) Geoacta, 33, pp. 21-31
  • Alessandro, A.P., Anomalías de circulación atmosférica en 500 y 1000 hPa asociada a la sequía producida en la Argentina durante enero de 2003 a marzo de 2004 (2008) Rev Bras Meteorol, 23, pp. 12-29
  • Anderson, T.W., Darling, D.A., Asymptotic theory of certain 'goodness of fit' criteria based on stochastic processes (1952) Ann Math Stat, 23, pp. 193-212
  • Barrucand, M.G., Vargas, W.M., Rusticucci, M.M., Dry conditions over Argentina and the related monthly circulation patterns (2007) Meteorol Atmos Phys, 98, pp. 99-114
  • Barrucand, M.G., Vargas, W.M., Bettolli, M.L., Warm and cold dry months and associated circulation in the humid and semi-humid Argentine region (2014) Meteorol Atmos Phys, 123, pp. 143-154
  • Bettolli, M.L., Penalba, O.C., Synoptic sea level pressure patterns - Daily rainfall relationship over the Argentine Pampas in a multi-model simulation (2014) Meteorol Appl, 21, pp. 376-383
  • Bidegain, M., Skansi, M., Penalba, O., Quintana, J., Aceituno, P., Southern South America (in 'State of the Climate in 2009') (2010) Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 91, pp. S150-S151
  • Bidegain, M., Skansi, M., Penalba, O., Quintana, J., Southern South America (in 'State of the Climate in 2010') (2011) Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 92, pp. S190-S192
  • Boulanger, J.P., Leloup, J., Penalba, O.C., Rusticucci, M.M., Lafon, F., Vargas, W.M., Observed precipitation in the Paraná-Plata hydrological basin: Long-term trends, ex - Treme conditions and ENSO teleconnections (2005) Clim Dyn, 24, pp. 393-413
  • Carbone, M.E., Piccolo, M.C., Scian, B.V., Análisis de los períodos secos y húmedos en la cuenca del arroyo Claromecó, Argentina (2004) Papeles de Geografía, 40, pp. 25-35
  • Carril, A.F., Menéndez, C.G., Nuñez, M., Climate change scenarios over the South American region: An intercomparison of coupled general atmosphere-ocean circulation models (1997) Int J Climatol, 17, pp. 1613-1633
  • Castañeda, M., Barros, V., Tendencias de la precipi - Tación en oeste de la Argentina (2001) Meteorológica, 26, pp. 5-23
  • Cavalcanti, I.F.A., Large scale and synoptic features associated with extreme precipitation over South America: A review and case studies for the first decade of the 21st century (2012) Atmos Res, 118, pp. 27-40
  • Cavalcanti, I.F.A., Carril, A.F., Penalba, O.C., Grimm, A.M., Precipitation extremes over la Plata Basin - Review and new results from observations and climate simulations (2015) J Hydrol (Amst), 523, pp. 211-230
  • Compagnucci, R.H., Vargas, W.M., Inter-annual variability of the Cuyo rivers' streamflow in the Argentinean Andean mountains and ENSO events (1998) Int J Climatol, 18, pp. 1593-1609
  • Compagnucci, R.H., Agosta, E.A., Vargas, W.M., Climatic change and quasi-oscillations in Central-West Argen tina summer precipitation. Main features and coherent behaviour with Southern African region (2002) Clim Dyn, 18, pp. 421-435
  • Edwards, D.C., McKee, T.B., (1997) Characteristics of 20th Cen Tury Drought in the United States at Multiple Time Scales, , Atmospheric Science Paper No. 634, Climatology Report, No. 97-2, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
  • Ereño, C., (2011) CLIVAR Exchanges No. 57 (Vol 16 No. 3). Special Issue - La Plata Basin, , Indigo Press, Southampton
  • Espinoza, J.C., Ronchail, J., Lengaigne, M., Quispe, N., Revisiting wintertime cold air intrusions at the east of the Andes: Propagating features from subtropical Argentina to Peruvian Amazon and relationship with large-scale circulation patterns (2013) Clim Dyn, 41, pp. 1983-2002
  • Forte Lay, J.A., Spescha, L., Método para la estimación de la climatología del agua edáfica en las provincias pampeanas de la Argentina (2001) Rev Arg Agrometeorol, 1, pp. 67-74
  • Gentile, E., El Niño no tiene la culpa: vulnerabilidad en el Noreste Argentino (1994) Desastres y Sociedad, 3, pp. 68-85
  • Guttman, N.B., Accepting the Standardized Precipitation Index: A calculation algorithm (1999) J Am Water Resour Assoc, 35, pp. 311-322
  • (2013) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group i to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, , IPCC, Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M and others (eds) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
  • Kanamitsu, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Woollen, J., Yang, S.K., Hnilo, J.J., Fiorino, M., Potter, G.L., NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2) (2002) Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 83, pp. 1631-1643
  • Krepper, C.M., Zucarelli, V., Climatology of water excess and shortages in the la Plata Basin (2010) Theor Appl Climatol, 102, pp. 13-27
  • Latrubesse, E., Brea, D., Floods in Argentina (2008) Geomorphology of Natural Hazards and Human Exacerbated Disasters in Latin America, pp. 333-349. , In: Latrubesse E (ed), Elsevier, Amsterdam
  • Lloyd-Hughes, B., Saunders, M.A., A drought climato - Logy for Europe (2002) Int J Climatol, 22, pp. 1571-1592
  • Malaka, I., Nuñez, S., Aspectos sinópticos de la sequía que afectó a la República Argentina en el año 1962 (1980) Geoacta, 10, pp. 1-21
  • Mantua, N.J., Hare, S.R., Zhang, Y., Wallace, J.M., Francis, R.C., A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production (1997) Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 78, pp. 1069-1079
  • Masiokas, M.H., Villalba, R., Luckman, B.H., Le Quesne, C., Aravena, J.C., Snowpack variations in the central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951-2005: Large-scale atmospheric influences and implications for water re - Sources in the region (2006) J Clim, 19, pp. 6334-6352
  • McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., Kleist, J., The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales (1993) Proc 8th Conf Applied Climatology, Anaheim, CA, American Meteorological Society, pp. 179-184
  • Minetti, J.L., Vargas, W.M., Poblete, A.G., Acuña, L.R., Casagrande, G., Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual precipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999 (2003) Atmósfera, 16, pp. 119-135
  • Minetti, J.L., Vargas, W.M., Vega, B., Costa, M.C., Las sequías en la Pampa Húmeda: Impacto en la productividad del maíz (2007) Rev Bras Meteorol, 22, pp. 218-232
  • Pántano, V., Spescha, L., Penalba, O., Murphy, G., Influencia de la variabilidad de la temperatura y la precipitación en el agua del suelo, en la región oriental de secano de Argentina (2014) Meteorológica, 39, pp. 21-36
  • Pascale, J.Y., Damario, E.A., El Balance Hidrológico Seriado y su utilización en estudios agroclimáticos (1977) Rev Fac Agron la Plata, 53, pp. 15-34
  • Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Regional aspects of future precipitation and meteorological drought characteristics over Southern South America projected by a CMIP5 multimodel ensemble (2015) Int J Climatol
  • Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Future changes in drought characteristics over Southern South America projected by a CMIP5 multi-model ensemble (2013) Am J Clim Chang, 2, pp. 173-182
  • Penalba, O.C., Robledo, F., Spatial and temporal variability of the frequency of extreme daily rainfall regime in the la Plata Basin during the 20th century (2010) Clim Change, 98, pp. 531-550
  • Penalba, O.C., Vargas, W., Interdecadal and Interannual variations of annual and extreme precipitation over central- northeastern Argentina (2004) Int J Climatol, 24, pp. 1565-1580
  • Penalba, O., Vargas, W., Variability of low monthly rainfall in la Plata Basin (2008) Meteorol Appl, 15, pp. 313-323
  • Penalba, O.C., Beltran, A., Messina, C., Monthly rainfall in central-eastern Argentina and ENSO. A comparative study of rainfall forecast methodologies (2005) Rev Bras Agro - Meteorol, 13, pp. 49-61
  • Penalba, O.C., Bettolli, M.L., Krieger, P.A., Surface circulation types and daily maximum and minimum temperatures in southern la Plata Basin (2013) J Appl Meteorol Climatol, 52, pp. 2450-2459
  • Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Pántano, V.C., The CLARIS LPB database: Constructing a long-term daily hydrometeorological dataset for la Plata Basin, southern South America (2014) Geosci Data J, 1, pp. 20-29
  • Popescu, I., Brandimarte, L., Perera, M.S.U., Peviani, M., Assessing residual hydropower potential of the la Plata Basin accounting for future user demands (2012) Hydrol Earth Syst Sci, 16, pp. 2813-2823
  • Reboita, M.S., Alonso Gan, M., Da Rocha, R.P., Ambrizzi, T., Regimes de precipitação na América do Sul: Uma revisão bibliográfica (2010) Rev Bras Meteorol, 25, pp. 185-204
  • Rivera, J.A., Penalba, O.C., Trends and spatial patterns of drought affected area in southern South America (2014) Climate, 2, pp. 264-278
  • Rivera, J., Penalba, O., El Niño/La Niña events as a tool for regional drought monitoring in southern South America (2015) Drought: Research and Science-policy Interfacing, pp. 293-299. , In: Andreu J, Solera A, Paredes-Arquiola J, Haro- Monteagudo D, van Lanen H (eds), CRC Press/Balkema, Leiden
  • Ruscica, R.C., Sörensson, A.A., Menéndez, C.G., Pathways between soil moisture and precipitation in southeastern South America (2014) Atmos Sci Lett, 16, pp. 267-272
  • Sánchez, E., Solman, S., Remedio, A.R.C., Berbery, H., Regional climate modelling in CLARIS LPB: A concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America (2015) Clim Dyn, 45, pp. 2193-2212
  • Seiler, R.A., Hayes, M., Bressan, L., Using the Standardized Precipitation Index for flood risk monitoring (2002) Int J Climatol, 22, pp. 1365-1376
  • Seneviratne, S.I., Corti, T., Davin, E.L., Hirschi, M., Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review (2010) Earth Sci Rev, 99, pp. 125-161
  • Solman, S.A., Menéndez, C.G., Weather regimes in the South American sector and neighbouring oceans during winter (2003) Clim Dyn, 21, pp. 91-104
  • Solman, S.A., Sanchez, E., Samuelsson, P., Da Rocha, R.P., Evaluation of an ensemble of regional climate model simulations over South America driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis: Model performance and uncertainties (2013) Clim Dyn, 41, pp. 1139-1157
  • Sörensson, A.A., Menéndez, C.G., Summer soil-precipitation coupling in South America (2011) Tellus, 63, pp. 56-68
  • Spennemann, P.C., Rivera, J.A., Saulo, A.C., Penalba, O.C., A comparison of GLDAS soil moisture anomalies against the standardized precipitation index and multisatellite estimations over South America (2015) J Hydrometeorol, 16, pp. 158-171
  • Taylor, K.E., Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram (2001) J Geophys Res, 106, pp. 7183-7192
  • Thornthwaite, C.W., Mather, J.R., Instructions and tables for computing potential evapotranspiration and water balance (1957) Publications in Climatology, 10, pp. 185-311. , Laboratory of Climatology, Drexel Institute of Technology, Centerton, NJ
  • Bank, W., (2015) World Development Indicators 2015, , World Bank, Washington, DC
  • Wu, H., Svoboda, M.D., Hayes, M.J., Wilhite, D.A., Wen, F., Appropriate application of the Standardized Precipi - Tation Index in arid locations and dry seasons (2007) Int J Climatol, 27, pp. 65-79

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Pántano, V.C. & Bettolli, M.L. (2016) . Extreme rainfall, hydric conditions and associated atmospheric circulation in the southern la Plata Basin. Climate Research, 68(2-3), 215-229.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01353
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Pántano, V.C., Bettolli, M.L. "Extreme rainfall, hydric conditions and associated atmospheric circulation in the southern la Plata Basin" . Climate Research 68, no. 2-3 (2016) : 215-229.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01353
---------- MLA ----------
Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Pántano, V.C., Bettolli, M.L. "Extreme rainfall, hydric conditions and associated atmospheric circulation in the southern la Plata Basin" . Climate Research, vol. 68, no. 2-3, 2016, pp. 215-229.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01353
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Penalba, O.C., Rivera, J.A., Pántano, V.C., Bettolli, M.L. Extreme rainfall, hydric conditions and associated atmospheric circulation in the southern la Plata Basin. Clim. Res. 2016;68(2-3):215-229.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01353