Artículo

Sánchez, E.; Solman, S.; Remedio, A.R.C.; Berbery, H.; Samuelsson, P.; Da Rocha, R.P.; Mourão, C.; Li, L.; Marengo, J.; de Castro, M.; Jacob, D. "Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America" (2015) Climate Dynamics. 45(7-8):2193-2212
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Abstract:

The results of an ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) simulations over South America are presented. This is the first coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The results of different future periods, with the main focus on (2071–2100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and regions, generally larger for the austral winter season. Future climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, and an increase over the subtropical areas. These climate change signals arise independently of the driving global model and the RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the tropical ones. The current analysis allows identification of the common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties for several subregions within the South American continent. © 2015, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America
Autor:Sánchez, E.; Solman, S.; Remedio, A.R.C.; Berbery, H.; Samuelsson, P.; Da Rocha, R.P.; Mourão, C.; Li, L.; Marengo, J.; de Castro, M.; Jacob, D.
Filiación:University of Castilla La Mancha, Avda. Carlos III s/n, Toledo, 45071, Spain
Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), DCAO/FCEN-UBA UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Ciudad Universitaria Pabellón II Piso 2, Buenos Aires, C1428EGA, Argentina
Climate Service Center 2.0, Chilehaus Eingang B, Fischertwiete 1, Hamburg, 20095, Germany
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, 5825 University Research Court Suite 4001, College Park, MD 20740-3823, United States
Rossby Centre, SMHI, Norrköping, 601 76, Sweden
Dept Ciencias Atmosféricas, Instituto de Astronomía, Geofísica e Ciencias Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
Centro Ciencia Sistema Terrestre-Instituto Nacional Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo 12630-000, Brazil
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France
Palabras clave:Climate change; Regional climate modelling; South America; air temperature; climate modeling; computer simulation; ensemble forecasting; greenhouse gas; identification method; precipitation (climatology); regional climate; twenty first century; South America
Año:2015
Volumen:45
Número:7-8
Página de inicio:2193
Página de fin:2212
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0
Título revista:Climate Dynamics
Título revista abreviado:Clim. Dyn.
ISSN:09307575
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_09307575_v45_n7-8_p2193_Sanchez

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Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Sánchez, E., Solman, S., Remedio, A.R.C., Berbery, H., Samuelsson, P., Da Rocha, R.P., Mourão, C.,..., Jacob, D. (2015) . Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America. Climate Dynamics, 45(7-8), 2193-2212.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Sánchez, E., Solman, S., Remedio, A.R.C., Berbery, H., Samuelsson, P., Da Rocha, R.P., et al. "Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America" . Climate Dynamics 45, no. 7-8 (2015) : 2193-2212.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0
---------- MLA ----------
Sánchez, E., Solman, S., Remedio, A.R.C., Berbery, H., Samuelsson, P., Da Rocha, R.P., et al. "Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America" . Climate Dynamics, vol. 45, no. 7-8, 2015, pp. 2193-2212.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Sánchez, E., Solman, S., Remedio, A.R.C., Berbery, H., Samuelsson, P., Da Rocha, R.P., et al. Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature and precipitation over South America. Clim. Dyn. 2015;45(7-8):2193-2212.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0