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Marengo, J.; Chou, S.; Mourao, C.; Solman, S.; Sanchez, E.; Samuelsson, P.; da Rocha, R.P.; Li, L.; Pessacg, N.; Remedio, A.R.C.; Carril, A.F.; F Cavalcanti, I.; Jacob, D. "Simulation of rainfall anomalies leading to the 2005 drought in Amazonia using the CLARIS LPB regional climate models" (2013) Climate Dynamics. 41(11-12):2937-2955
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Abstract:

The meteorological characteristics of the drought of 2005 in Amazonia, one of the most severe in the last 100 years were assessed using a suite of seven regional models obtained from the CLARIS LPB project. The models were forced with the ERA-Interim reanalyses as boundary conditions. We used a combination of rainfall and temperature observations and the low-level circulation and evaporation fields from the reanalyses to determine the climatic and meteorological characteristics of this particular drought. The models reproduce in some degree the observed annual cycle of precipitation and the geographical distribution of negative rainfall anomalies during the summer months of 2005. With respect to the evolution of rainfall during 2004-2006, some of the models were able to simulate the negative rainfall departures during early summer of 2005 (December 2004 to February 2005). The interannual variability of rainfall anomalies for both austral summer and fall over northern and southern Amazonia show a large spread among models, with some of them capable of reproducing the 2005 observed negative rainfall departures (four out of seven models in southern Amazonia during DJF). In comparison, all models simulated the observed southern Amazonia negative rainfall and positive air temperature anomalies during the El Nino-related drought in 1998. The spatial structure of the simulated rainfall and temperature anomalies in DJF and MAM 2005 shows biases that are different among models. While some models simulated the observed negative rainfall anomalies over parts of western and southern Amazonia during DJF, others simulated positive rainfall departures over central Amazonia. The simulated circulation patterns indicate a weaker northeasterly flow from the tropical North Atlantic into Amazonia, and reduced flows from southern Amazonia into the La Plata basin in DJF, which is consistent with observations. In general, we can say that in some degree the regional models are able to capture the response to the forcing from the tropical Atlantic during the drought of 2005 in Amazonia. Moreover, extreme climatic conditions in response to anomalous low-level circulation features are also well captured, since the boundary conditions come from reanalysis and the models are largely constrained by the information provided at the boundaries. The analysis of the 2005 drought suggests that when the forcing leading to extreme anomalous conditions is associated with both local and non-local mechanisms (soil moisture feedbacks and remote SST anomalies, respectively) the models are not fully capable of representing these feedbacks and hence, the associated anomalies. The reason may be a deficient reproduction of the land-atmosphere interactions. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Simulation of rainfall anomalies leading to the 2005 drought in Amazonia using the CLARIS LPB regional climate models
Autor:Marengo, J.; Chou, S.; Mourao, C.; Solman, S.; Sanchez, E.; Samuelsson, P.; da Rocha, R.P.; Li, L.; Pessacg, N.; Remedio, A.R.C.; Carril, A.F.; F Cavalcanti, I.; Jacob, D.
Filiación:Centro de Ciência do Sistema Terrestre, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CCST INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000 Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil
Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climaticos, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC INPE), Rodovia Dutra km, 40, 12630-000 Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil
Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA), CONICET-UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Facultad Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquimica, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain
Rossby Centre, SMHI, 601 76 Norrköping, Sweden
Departamento de Ciências Atmosféricas, Instituto de Astronomia, Geofísica e Ciências Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France
Centro Nacional Patagónico (CENPAT/CONICET), U9120ACF Puerto Madryn, Chubut, Argentina
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (DCAO), FCEN, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Climate Services Center (CSC), Hamburg, Germany
Palabras clave:Amazonia; Downscaling; Drought; Regional models; annual variation; atmospheric circulation; boundary condition; climate effect; climate modeling; computer simulation; downscaling; drought; rainfall; regional climate; temperature anomaly; Amazonia; La Plata Basin
Año:2013
Volumen:41
Número:11-12
Página de inicio:2937
Página de fin:2955
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1919-1
Título revista:Climate Dynamics
Título revista abreviado:Clim. Dyn.
ISSN:09307575
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_09307575_v41_n11-12_p2937_Marengo

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Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Marengo, J., Chou, S., Mourao, C., Solman, S., Sanchez, E., Samuelsson, P., da Rocha, R.P.,..., Jacob, D. (2013) . Simulation of rainfall anomalies leading to the 2005 drought in Amazonia using the CLARIS LPB regional climate models. Climate Dynamics, 41(11-12), 2937-2955.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1919-1
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Marengo, J., Chou, S., Mourao, C., Solman, S., Sanchez, E., Samuelsson, P., et al. "Simulation of rainfall anomalies leading to the 2005 drought in Amazonia using the CLARIS LPB regional climate models" . Climate Dynamics 41, no. 11-12 (2013) : 2937-2955.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1919-1
---------- MLA ----------
Marengo, J., Chou, S., Mourao, C., Solman, S., Sanchez, E., Samuelsson, P., et al. "Simulation of rainfall anomalies leading to the 2005 drought in Amazonia using the CLARIS LPB regional climate models" . Climate Dynamics, vol. 41, no. 11-12, 2013, pp. 2937-2955.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1919-1
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Marengo, J., Chou, S., Mourao, C., Solman, S., Sanchez, E., Samuelsson, P., et al. Simulation of rainfall anomalies leading to the 2005 drought in Amazonia using the CLARIS LPB regional climate models. Clim. Dyn. 2013;41(11-12):2937-2955.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1919-1