Artículo

La versión final de este artículo es de uso interno. El editor solo permite incluir en el repositorio el artículo en su versión post-print. Por favor, si usted la posee enviela a
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

The paper concentrates on the analysis of the interannual variability of wintertime rainfall in the Southern Andes. Besides the socio-economic relevance of the region, mainly associated with hydroelectric energy production, the study of the climate variability in that area has not received as much attention as others along the Andes. The results show that winter rainfall explains the largest percentage of regional total annuals. A principal component analysis (PCA) of the winter rainfall anomalies showed that the regional year-to-year variability is mostly explained by three leading patterns. While one of them is significantly associated with both the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), the other two patterns are significantly related to interannual changes of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean. Specifically, changes in the ocean surface conditions at both tropical basins induce in the atmospheric circulation the generation of Rossby wave trains that extend along the South Pacific towards South America, and alter the circulation at the region under study. The relationship between variability in the Indian Ocean and the Andes climate variability has not been previously addressed. Therefore, this result makes a significant contribution to the identification of the sources of predictability in South America with relevant consequences for future applications in seasonal predictions. © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:On the interannual wintertime rainfall variability in the Southern Andes
Autor:González, M.H.; Vera, C.S.
Filiación:Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CONICET-UBA), Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, FCEyN, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Palabras clave:El niño southern oscillation; Indian ocean; Interannual variability; Southern andes; Southern annular mode; Atmospheric circulation; Climate variability; Future applications; Hydroelectric energy production; Indian ocean; Interannual; Interannual variability; Ocean surfaces; Rossby wave; Sea surface temperature anomalies; Seasonal prediction; Socio-economics; South America; Southern Annular Mode; Southern Oscillation; Tropical Indian ocean; Winter rainfall; Wintertime rainfall; Atmospheric pressure; Atmospheric temperature; Climate change; Financial data processing; Locomotives; Nickel compounds; Ocean currents; Railroad cars; Rain; Surface waters; Principal component analysis; annual variation; atmospheric circulation; climate variation; El Nino-Southern Oscillation; precipitation assessment; principal component analysis; rainfall; Rossby wave; sea surface temperature; winter; Andes; Indian Ocean; Indian Ocean (Tropical)
Año:2010
Volumen:30
Número:5
Página de inicio:643
Página de fin:657
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1910
Título revista:International Journal of Climatology
Título revista abreviado:Int. J. Climatol.
ISSN:08998418
CODEN:IJCLE
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_08998418_v30_n5_p643_Gonzalez

Referencias:

  • Aceituno, P., On the functioning of the southern oscillation in the South American sector. Part I: Surface climate (1988) Monthly Weather Review, 116, pp. 505-524
  • Aceituno, P., Garreaud, R., Impactos de los feńomenos El Nĩno y La Nĩna sobre reǵi{dotless}menes fluvioḿetricos andinos (1995) Revista De La Sociedad Chilena De Ingenieria Hidŕaulica, 10 (2), pp. 33-43
  • Brooks, C., Carruthers, N., (1953) Handbook of Statistical Methods In Meteorology, pp. 210-241. , Her Majesty's Stationary Office: London, UK
  • Cattel, R.B., The scree test for the number of factors (1966) Multivariate Behavioral Research, 1, p. 245
  • Compagnucci, R., Araneo, D., Identificacíon déareas de homogeneidad estad́i{dotless}stica para los caudales de los ŕi{dotless}os andinos argentinos y su relacíon con la circulacíon atmosf́erica y la temperatura superficial del mar (2005) Meteorologica, 30 (1-2), pp. 41-54
  • Compagnucci, R., Vargas, W., Inter-annual variability of the Cuyo river streamflowin the Argentinean Andean Mountains and ENSO events (1998) International Journal of Climatology, 18, pp. 1593-1609
  • Conrad, V., Pollack, L.W., (1950) Methods In Climatology, p. 459. , Harvard University Press: Cambridge, UK
  • Green, P., (1978) Analysing Multivariate Data, pp. 341-387. , Dryden Press: Illionis, USA
  • Hoffman, J., Maps of mean temperature and precipitation. Climatic Atlas of South America, World Meteorol (1975) Org.: Geneva, Switzerland, 1, pp. 1-28
  • Kaiser, H.F., The varimax criterion for analytic rotation in factor analysis (1958) Psychometrica, 23, pp. 187-200
  • Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Joseph, D., The NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 40 years-project (1996) Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society, 77, pp. 437-471
  • Mo, K., Relationships between low frequency variability in the southern hemisphere and sea surface temperature anomalies (2000) Journal of Climate, 13, pp. 3599-3610
  • Montecinos, A., Aceituno, P., Seasonality of the ENSO related rainfall variability in central Chile and associated circulation anomalies (2003) Journal of Climate, 16, pp. 281-296
  • Reason, C., Subtropical Indian Ocean SST dipole events and Southern Africa rainfall (2001) Geophysical Research Letters, 28, pp. 2225-2227
  • Reason, C., Rouault, M., Links between the Antartic Oscillation and winter rainfall over western South Africa (2005) Geophysical Research Letters, 32, pp. L07705. , DOI: 10.1029/2005GL022419
  • Routllant, J., Fuenzalida, H., Synoptic aspects of the central Chile rainfall variability associated with the southern oscillation (1991) International Journal of Climatology, 11, pp. 63-76
  • Schneider, C., Gies, D., Effects of El Nĩno-Southern Oscillation on southernmost South America precipitation al 53°S revealed from NCEP-NCAR reanalysis and weather station data (2004) International Journal of Climatology, 24 (9), pp. 1057-1076
  • Schwerdtfeger, W.S., (1975) Climates of Central and South America, World Survey of Climatology, 12, p. 532. , Elsevier: Amsterdam
  • Silvestri, G., Vera, C., Antarctic Oscillation signal on precipitation anomalies over southeastern South America (2003) Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (21), pp. 2115-2118. , DOI: 10.1029/2003GL018277
  • Thompson, D.W.J., Wallace, J.M., Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability (2000) Journal of Climate, 13, pp. 1000-1016
  • Zheng, X., Frederiksen, C., A study of predictable patterns for seasonal forecasting of New Zealand rainfall (2006) Journal of Climate, 19, pp. 3320-3333
  • Zheng, X., Renwick, J., A regression scheme based for seasonal forecasting of New Zealand temperature (2003) Journal of Climate, 16, pp. 1843-1853

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
González, M.H. & Vera, C.S. (2010) . On the interannual wintertime rainfall variability in the Southern Andes. International Journal of Climatology, 30(5), 643-657.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1910
---------- CHICAGO ----------
González, M.H., Vera, C.S. "On the interannual wintertime rainfall variability in the Southern Andes" . International Journal of Climatology 30, no. 5 (2010) : 643-657.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1910
---------- MLA ----------
González, M.H., Vera, C.S. "On the interannual wintertime rainfall variability in the Southern Andes" . International Journal of Climatology, vol. 30, no. 5, 2010, pp. 643-657.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1910
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
González, M.H., Vera, C.S. On the interannual wintertime rainfall variability in the Southern Andes. Int. J. Climatol. 2010;30(5):643-657.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1910