Artículo

Liebmann, B.; Kiladis, G.N.; Allured, D.; Vera, C.S.; Jones, C.; Carvalho, L.M.V.; Bladé, I.; Gonzáles, P.L.M. "Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil" (2011) Journal of Climate. 24(2):376-396
La versión final de este artículo es de uso interno de la institución.
Consulte el artículo en la página del editor
Consulte la política de Acceso Abierto del editor

Abstract:

The mechanisms resulting in large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil are analyzed using data filtering to exclude periods longer than 30 days. Composites of circulation fields that include all independent events do not reveal any obvious forcing mechanisms as multiple patterns contribute to Northeast Brazil precipitation variability. To isolate coherent patterns, subsets of events are selected based on anomalies that precede the Northeast Brazil precipitation events at different locations. The results indicate that at 10°S, 40°W, the area of lowest annual rainfall in Brazil, precipitation occurs mainly in association with trailing midlatitude synoptic wave trains originating in either hemisphere. Closer to the equator at 5°S, 37.5°W, an additional convection precursor is found to the west, with a spatial structure consistent with that of a Kelvin wave. Although these two sites are located within only several hundred kilometers of each other and the midlatitude patterns that induce precipitation appear to be quite similar, the dates on which large precipitation anomalies occur at each location are almost entirely independent, pointing to separate forcing mechanisms. © 2011 American Meteorological Society.

Registro:

Documento: Artículo
Título:Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil
Autor:Liebmann, B.; Kiladis, G.N.; Allured, D.; Vera, C.S.; Jones, C.; Carvalho, L.M.V.; Bladé, I.; Gonzáles, P.L.M.
Filiación:NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO, United States
Physical Sciences Division, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
CIMA/UBA-CONICET, Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences/FCEyN, UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Institute for Computational Earth System Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Department of Geography and Institute for Computational Earth System Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
Departament d'Astronomia i Meteorologia, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
Palabras clave:Extreme events; Kelvin waves; Rainfall; South America; Annual rainfall; Daily rainfall; Data filtering; Extreme events; Kelvin waves; Midlatitudes; Northeast Brazil; Precipitation anomalies; Precipitation events; Precipitation variability; Rainfall; South America; Spatial structure; Wave train; Coastal zones; Gravity waves; Locomotives; Railroad cars; Rain; atmospheric convection; extreme event; formation mechanism; Kelvin wave; precipitation intensity; rainfall; Brazil
Año:2011
Volumen:24
Número:2
Página de inicio:376
Página de fin:396
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3457.1
Título revista:Journal of Climate
Título revista abreviado:J. Clim.
ISSN:08948755
Registro:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_08948755_v24_n2_p376_Liebmann

Referencias:

  • Carvalho, L.M.V., Jones, C., Liebmann, B., Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and large-scale convective patterns in the South Atlantic convergence zone (2002) J. Climate, 15, pp. 2377-2394
  • Carvalho, L.M.V., Jones, C., Liebmann, B., The South Atlantic convergence zone: Intensity, form, persistence, and relationships with intraseasonal to interannual activity and extreme rainfall (2004) J. Climate, 17, pp. 88-108
  • De Souza, E.B., Ambrizzi, T., Modulation of the intraseasonal rainfall over tropical Brazil by the Madden-Julian oscillation (2006) Int. J. Climatol., 26, pp. 1759-1776
  • De Souza, E.B., Kayano, M.T., Ambrizzi, T., Intraseasonal and submonthly variability over the eastern Amazon and Northeast Brazil during the autumn rainy season (2005) Theor. Appl. Climatol., 81, pp. 177-191. , doi:10.1007/s00704-004-0081-4
  • Duchon, C.E., Lanczos filtering in one and two dimensions (1979) J. Appl. Meteor., 18, pp. 1016-1022
  • Folland, C.K., Colman, A.W., Rowell, D.P., Davey, M.K., Predictability of Northeast Brazil rainfall and real-time forecast skill, 1987-98 (2001) J. Climate, 14, pp. 1937-1958
  • Garreaud, R.D., Cold air incursions over subtropical South America: Mean structure and dynamics (2000) Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, pp. 2544-2559
  • Garreaud, R.D., Wallace, J.M., Summertime incursions of midlatitude air into subtropical and tropical South America (1998) Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, pp. 2713-2733
  • Gill, A.E., Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation (1980) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 106, pp. 447-462
  • Hastenrath, S., Prediction of Northeast Brazil rainfall anomalies (1990) J. Climate, 3, pp. 893-904
  • Hastenrath, S., Heller, L., Dynamics of climate hazards in Northeast Brazil (1977) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 103, pp. 77-92
  • Hastenrath, S., Lamb, P., (1977) Climatic Atlas of the Tropical Atlantic and Eastern Pacific Oceans, p. 117. , University of Wisconsin Press
  • Hastenrath, S., Greischar, L., Circulation mechanisms related to Northeast Brazil rainfall anomalies (1993) J. Geophys. Res., 98, pp. 5093-5102
  • Hastenrath, S., Greischar, L., Further work on the prediction of Northeast Brazil rainfall anomalies (1993) J. Climate, 6, pp. 743-758
  • Hoskins, B.J., Karoly, D.J., The steady linear response of a spherical atmosphere to thermal and orographic forcing (1981) J. Atmos. Sci., 38, pp. 1179-1196
  • Hoskins, B.J., McIntyre, M.E., Robertson, A.W., On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticitymaps (1985) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 111, pp. 877-946
  • Hsu, H.-H., Propagation of low-level circulation features in the vicinity of mountain ranges (1987) Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, pp. 1864-1893
  • Jones, C., A homogeneous stochastic model of the Madden- Julian oscillation (2009) J. Climate, 22, pp. 3270-3288
  • Jones, C., Carvalho, L.M.V., Stochastic simulations of the Madden-Julian oscillation activity (2011) Climate Dyn., , in press, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0660-2
  • Jones, C., Waliser, D.E., Lau, K.M., Stern, W., Global occurrences of extreme precipitation and the Madden-Julian oscillation: Observations and predictability (2004) J. Climate, 17, pp. 4575-4589
  • Kalnay, E., The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, pp. 437-471
  • Kidson, J.W., Intraseasonal variations in the Southern Hemisphere circulation (1991) J. Climate, 4, pp. 939-953
  • Kiladis, G.N., Observations of Rossby waves linked to convection over the eastern tropical Pacific (1998) J. Atmos. Sci., 55, pp. 321-339
  • Kiladis, G.N., Wheeler, M.C., Haertel, P.T., Straub, K.H., Roundy, P.E., Convectively coupled equatorial waves (2009) Rev. Geophys., 47, pp. RG2003. , doi:10.1029/2008RG000266
  • Kousky, V.E., Frontal influences on Northeast Brazil (1979) Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, pp. 1140-1153
  • Kousky, V.E., Chu, P.S., Fluctuations in annual rainfall for Northeast Brazil (1978) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 56, pp. 457-465
  • Kousky, V.E., Ferreira, N.J., Interdiurnal surface pressure variations in Brazil: Their spatial distributions, origins, and effects (1981) Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, pp. 1999-2008
  • Kousky, V.E., Gan, M.A., Upper tropospheric cyclonic vortices in the tropical South Atlantic (1981) Tellus, 33, pp. 538-551
  • Kucharski, F., Polzin, D., Hastenrath, S., Teleconnection mechanisms of Northeast Brazil droughts: Modeling and empirical evidence (2008) Rev. Bras. Meteor., 23, pp. 115-125
  • Liebmann, B., Smith, C.A., Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, pp. 1275-1277
  • Liebmann, B., Allured, D., Daily precipitation grids for South America (2005) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86, pp. 1567-1570
  • Liebmann, B., Kiladis, G.N., Marengo, J.A., Ambrizzi, T., Glick, J.D., Submonthly convective variability over South America and the South Atlantic convergence zone (1999) J. Climate, 12, pp. 1877-1891
  • Liebmann, B., Kiladis, G.N., Carvalho, L.M.V., Jones, C., Vera, C.S., Bladé, I., Allured, D., Origin of convectively coupled Kelvin waves over South America (2009) J. Climate, 22, pp. 300-315
  • Madden, R.A., Julian, P.R., Observations of the 40-50-day tropical oscillation-A review (1994) Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, pp. 814-837
  • Molion, L.C.B., Bernardo, S.O., Uma revisão da dinâmica das chuvas no nordeste Brasileiro (2002) Rev. Bras. Meteor., 17, pp. 1-10
  • Moron, V., Robertson, A.W., Ward, M.N., Camberlin, P., Spatial coherence of tropical rainfall at the regional scale (2007) J. Climate, 20, pp. 5244-5263
  • Moura, A.D., Shukla, J., On the dynamics of droughts in Northeast Brazil: Observations, theory and numerical experiments with a general circulation model (1981) J. Atmos. Sci., 38, pp. 2653-2675
  • Ramos, R.P.L., Precipitation characteristics in the Northeast Brazil dry region (1975) J. Geophys. Res., 80, pp. 1665-1678
  • Rao, V.B., Bonatti, J.P., On the origin of upper tropospheric cyclonic vortices in the South Atlantic Ocean and adjoining Brazil during the summer (1987) Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 37, pp. 11-16
  • Rao, V.B., Franchito, S.H., Barbosa, T.F., Impact of high potential vorticity intrusions into the tropical upper troposphere in South Atlantic on precipitation over Northeast Brazil (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, pp. L06704. , doi:10.1029/2006GL027873
  • Rickenbach, T.M., Ferreira, R.N., Halverson, J.B., Herdies, D.L., Silva Dias, M.A.F., Modulation of convection in the southwestern Amazon basin by extratropical stationary fronts (2002) J. Geophys. Res., 107, p. 8040. , doi:10.1029/2000JD000263
  • Silva, M.E.S., Carvalho, L.M.V., Silva Dias, M.A.F., Xavier, T., Complexity and predictability of daily precipitation in a semi-arid region: An application to Ceará, Brazil (2006) Nonlinear Processes Geophys, 13, pp. 651-659
  • Silva Dias, M.A.F., A case study of convective organization into precipitating lines in the Southwest Amazon during the WETAMC and TRMM-LBA (2002) J. Geophys. Res., 107, p. 8078. , doi:10.1029/2001JD000375
  • Tomas, R.A., Webster, P.J., Horizontal and vertical structure of cross-equatorial wave propagation (1994) J. Atmos. Sci., 51, pp. 1417-1430
  • Uvo, C.B., Repelli, C.A., Zebiak, S.E., Kushnir, Y., The relationships between tropical Pacific and Atlantic SST and Northeast Brazil monthly precipitation (1998) J. Climate, 11, pp. 551-562
  • Vera, C.S., Vigliarolo, P.K., A diagnostic study of coldair outbreaks over South America (2000) Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, pp. 3-24
  • Wang, H., Fu, R., The influence of Amazon rainfall on the Atlantic ITCZ through convectively coupled Kelvin waves (2007) J. Climate, 20, pp. 1188-1201
  • Waugh, D.W., Polvani, L.M., Climatology of intrusions into the tropical upper troposphere (2000) Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, pp. 3857-3860
  • Wheeler, M.C., Hendon, H.H., An all-season realtime multivariate MJO index: Development of an index for monitoring and prediction (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, pp. 1917-1932
  • Xavier, T.M.B.S., Xavier, A.F.S., SilvaDias, M.A.F., Silva Dias, P.L., A zona de convergência intertropical-ZCIT e suas relacxões com a chuva no Ceará (1964-1998) (2000) Rev. Bras. Meteor., 15, pp. 27-43

Citas:

---------- APA ----------
Liebmann, B., Kiladis, G.N., Allured, D., Vera, C.S., Jones, C., Carvalho, L.M.V., Bladé, I.,..., Gonzáles, P.L.M. (2011) . Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil. Journal of Climate, 24(2), 376-396.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3457.1
---------- CHICAGO ----------
Liebmann, B., Kiladis, G.N., Allured, D., Vera, C.S., Jones, C., Carvalho, L.M.V., et al. "Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil" . Journal of Climate 24, no. 2 (2011) : 376-396.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3457.1
---------- MLA ----------
Liebmann, B., Kiladis, G.N., Allured, D., Vera, C.S., Jones, C., Carvalho, L.M.V., et al. "Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil" . Journal of Climate, vol. 24, no. 2, 2011, pp. 376-396.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3457.1
---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Liebmann, B., Kiladis, G.N., Allured, D., Vera, C.S., Jones, C., Carvalho, L.M.V., et al. Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in Northeast Brazil. J. Clim. 2011;24(2):376-396.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3457.1