There is a growing appreciation that the environmental conditions that we call space weather impact the technological infrastructure that powers the coupled economies around the world. With that comes the need to better shield society against space weather by improving forecasts, environmental specifications, and infrastructure design. We recognize that much progress has been made and continues to be made with a powerful suite of research observatories on the ground and in space, forming the basis of a Sun-Earth system observatory. But the domain of space weather is vast - extending from deep within the Sun to far outside the planetary orbits - and the physics complex - including couplings between various types of physical processes that link scales and domains from the microscopic to large parts of the solar system. Consequently, advanced understanding of space weather requires a coordinated international approach to effectively provide awareness of the processes within the Sun-Earth system through observation-driven models. This roadmap prioritizes the scientific focus areas and research infrastructure that are needed to significantly advance our understanding of space weather of all intensities and of its implications for society. Advancement of the existing system observatory through the addition of small to moderate state-of-the-art capabilities designed to fill observational gaps will enable significant advances. Such a strategy requires urgent action: key instrumentation needs to be sustained, and action needs to be taken before core capabilities are lost in the aging ensemble. We recommend advances through priority focus (1) on observation-based modeling throughout the Sun-Earth system, (2) on forecasts more than 12 h ahead of the magnetic structure of incoming coronal mass ejections, (3) on understanding the geospace response to variable solarwind stresses that lead to intense geomagnetically-induced currents and ionospheric and radiation storms, and (4) on developing a comprehensive specification of space climate, including the characterization of extreme space storms to guide resilient and robust engineering of technological infrastructures. The roadmap clusters its implementation recommendations by formulating three action pathways, and outlines needed instrumentation and research programs and infrastructure for each of these. An executive summary provides an overview of all recommendations. © 2015 COSPAR.
Documento: | Artículo |
Título: | Understanding space weather to shield society: A global road map for 2015-2025 commissioned by COSPAR and ILWS |
Autor: | Schrijver, C.J.; Kauristie, K.; Aylward, A.D.; Denardini, C.M.; Gibson, S.E.; Glover, A.; Gopalswamy, N.; Grande, M.; Hapgood, M.; Heynderickx, D.; Jakowski, N.; Kalegaev, V.V.; Lapenta, G.; Linker, J.A.; Liu, S.; Mandrini, C.H.; Mann, I.R.; Nagatsuma, T.; Nandy, D.; Obara, T.; O'Brien, T.P.; Onsager, T.; Opgenoorth, H.J.; Terkildsen, M.; Valladares, C.E.; Vilmer, N. |
Filiación: | Lockheed Martin Solar and Astrophysics Laboratory, 3251 Hanover Street, Palo Alto, CA 94304, United States Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, FI-00560, Finland University College London, Dept. of Physics and Astronomy, Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, S. J. Campos, SP, Brazil HAO/NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, United States RHEA System and ESA SSA Programme Office, Darmstadt, 64293, Germany NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States Univ. of Aberystwyth, Penglais, STY23 3B, United Kingdom RAL Space and STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Oxford, Didcot, OX11 0QX, United Kingdom DH Consultancy BVBA, Diestsestraat 133/3, Leuven, 3000, Belgium German Aerospace Center, Kalkhorstweg 53, Neustrelitz, 17235, Germany Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Physics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation KU Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 200B, Leuven, 3001, Belgium Predictive Science Inc., San Diego, CA 92121, United States National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Haidian District, Beijing, 100190, China Instituto de Astronomia y Fisica del Espacio, Buenos Aires, C1428ZAA, Argentina Dept. of Physics, Univ. Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2J1, Canada Space Weather and Environment Informatics Lab, National Inst. of Information and Communications Techn, Tokyo, 184-8795, Japan Center for Excellence in Space Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Education and Research, Kolkata, Mohanpur, 74125, India Planetary Plasma and Atmospheric Research Center, Tohoku University, 6-3 Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba, Sendai, 980-8578, Japan Space Science Department/Chantilly, Aerospace Corporation, Chantilly, VA 20151, United States NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO 80305, United States Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Uppsala, 75121, Sweden Space Weather Services, Bureau of Meteorology, Surry Hills, NSW, Australia Institute for Scientific Research, Boston College, Newton, MA 02459, United States LESIA, Observatoire de Paris, CNRS, UPMC, Université Paris-Diderot, 5 place Jules Janssen, Meudon, 92195, France |
Palabras clave: | COSPAR/ILWS road map panel; Space weather; Distributed computer systems; Earth (planet); Environmental design; Observatories; Orbits; Specifications; Storms; Sun; Environmental conditions; Environmental specifications; Geomagnetically induced currents; Observation-based model; Observation-driven models; Road-maps; Space weather; Technological infrastructure; Weather forecasting |
Año: | 2015 |
Volumen: | 55 |
Número: | 12 |
Página de inicio: | 2745 |
Página de fin: | 2807 |
DOI: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2015.03.023 |
Título revista: | Advances in Space Research |
Título revista abreviado: | Adv. Space Res. |
ISSN: | 02731177 |
CODEN: | ASRSD |
Registro: | https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_02731177_v55_n12_p2745_Schrijver |