Abstract:
Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) transmission has been detected in America in 2013 and recently reached south up to Bolivia, Brazil and Paraguay, bordering countries of Argentina. The presence of the mosquito Aedes aegypti in half of the country together with the regional context drove us to make a rapid assessment of transmission risk. Temperature thresholds for vector breeding and for virus transmission, together with adult activity from the literature, were mapped on a monthly basis to estimate risk. Transmission of chikungunya by Ae. aegypti in the world was seen at monthly mean temperatures from 21-34ºC, with the majority occurring between 26-28ºC. In Argentina temperatures above 21ºC are observed since September in the northeast, expanding south until January and retreating back to the northeast in April. The maximum area under risk encompasses more than half the country and around 32 million inhabitants. Vector adult activity was registered where monthly means temperatures exceeded 13ºC, in the northeast all over the year and in the northern half from September-May. The models herein proposed show that conditions for transmission are already present. Considering the regional context and the historic inability to control dengue in the region, chikungunya fever illness seems unavoidable. © 2015, Fundacao Oswaldo Cruz. All rights reserved.
Registro:
Documento: |
Artículo
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Título: | Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps |
Autor: | Carbajo, A.E.; Vezzani, D. |
Filiación: | Ecología de Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores, Instituto de Investigación e Ingeniería Ambiental, Universidad Nacional de General San Martín, Buenos Aires, Argentina Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Buenos Aires, Argentina Ecología de Reservorios y Vectores de Parásitos, Instituto de Ecología, Genética y Evolución, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Palabras clave: | Aedes aegypti; Alphavirus; South America; Vector-borne diseases; Aedes aegypti; Alphavirus; Chikungunya virus; Aedes; animal; Argentina; Chikungunya Fever; Chikungunya virus; disease carrier; heat; mosquito control; physiology; procedures; risk assessment; season; spatiotemporal analysis; transmission; virology; Aedes; Animals; Argentina; Chikungunya Fever; Chikungunya virus; Hot Temperature; Insect Vectors; Mosquito Control; Risk Assessment; Seasons; Spatio-Temporal Analysis |
Año: | 2015
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Volumen: | 110
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Número: | 2
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Página de inicio: | 259
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Página de fin: | 262
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DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760150005 |
Título revista: | Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
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Título revista abreviado: | Mem. Inst. Oswaldo Cruz
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ISSN: | 00740276
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Registro: | https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00740276_v110_n2_p259_Carbajo |
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Citas:
---------- APA ----------
Carbajo, A.E. & Vezzani, D.
(2015)
. Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps. Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, 110(2), 259-262.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760150005---------- CHICAGO ----------
Carbajo, A.E., Vezzani, D.
"Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps"
. Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz 110, no. 2
(2015) : 259-262.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760150005---------- MLA ----------
Carbajo, A.E., Vezzani, D.
"Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps"
. Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, vol. 110, no. 2, 2015, pp. 259-262.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760150005---------- VANCOUVER ----------
Carbajo, A.E., Vezzani, D. Waiting for chikungunya fever in Argentina: Spatio-temporal risk maps. Mem. Inst. Oswaldo Cruz. 2015;110(2):259-262.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760150005